Sport Picks
Hetman Zamosc vs Chelmianka Chelm
Poland
III Liga - Group IV 
AI Match Summary
The III Liga - Group IV game between Hetman Zamosc and Chelmianka Chelm finished 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
31%
35%
34%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
34%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Chelmianka Chelm come out ahead of Hetman Zamosc on wins alone.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Hetman Zamosc Clean Sheet 11%
Chelmianka Chelm Clean Sheet 13%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Hetman Zamosc | Chelmianka Chelm |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 31 |
| Wins | 7 | 21 |
| Draws | 7 | 7 |
| Losses | 15 | 3 |
| Goals Scored | 1.48 | 2 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.62 | 0.81 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 1.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 4, 2026 III Liga - Group IV
Hetman Zamosc vs Chelmianka Chelm
2:2
Jul 18, 2026 Club Friendly
Chelmianka Chelm vs Hetman Zamosc
2:1
May 28, 2021 III Liga - Group IV
Chelmianka Chelm vs Hetman Zamosc
4:0
Nov 25, 2020 III Liga - Group IV
Hetman Zamosc vs Chelmianka Chelm
2:7
May 30, 2020 III Liga - Group IV
Chelmianka Chelm vs Hetman Zamosc
0:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Hetman Zamosc 35 / 100
Chelmianka Chelm 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Hetman Zamosc Chelmianka Chelm
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Chelmianka Chelm Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.
Hetman Zamosc found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).
Hetman Zamosc went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Chelmianka Chelm's defensive record shows goals conceded in 55% of 31 matches.
Scoring Trends
Hetman Zamosc VS Chelmianka Chelm
2 Goals Scored 1.63
2 Goals Conceded 0.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Hetman Zamosc
(Home) 04 Oct
Hetman Zamosc
2 : 2 Chelmianka Chelm
27 Sept
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
1 : 2 Hetman Zamosc
19 Sept
Hetman Zamosc
3 : 3 Wisla II
12 Sept
Naprzod Jedrzejow
4 : 2 Hetman Zamosc
05 Sept
Hetman Zamosc
2 : 1 Moravia Morawica
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Hetman Zamosc
2 : 2 Chelmianka Chelm
19 Sept
Hetman Zamosc
3 : 3 Wisla II
05 Sept
Hetman Zamosc
2 : 1 Moravia Morawica
22 Aug
Hetman Zamosc
0 : 1 Wislanie Skawina
15 Aug
Hetman Zamosc
3 : 0 Star Starachowice
Page 1 of 3
Chelmianka Chelm
(Away) 04 Oct
Hetman Zamosc
2 : 2 Chelmianka Chelm
26 Sept
Chelmianka Chelm
2 : 1 Biala Podlaska
19 Sept
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
0 : 0 Chelmianka Chelm
12 Sept
Chelmianka Chelm
1 : 1 Siarka Tarnobrzeg
05 Sept
Wisla II
0 : 2 Chelmianka Chelm
Page 1 of 7
04 Oct
Hetman Zamosc
2 : 2 Chelmianka Chelm
19 Sept
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
0 : 0 Chelmianka Chelm
05 Sept
Wisla II
0 : 2 Chelmianka Chelm
23 Aug
Naprzod Jedrzejow
0 : 2 Chelmianka Chelm
15 Aug
Moravia Morawica
0 : 3 Chelmianka Chelm
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chelmianka Chelm | 11 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 18:5 | 27 |
| 2 | Wisloka Debica | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 16:13 | 22 |
| 3 | Naprzod Jedrzejow | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 27:21 | 20 |
| 4 | Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski | 11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 16:9 | 20 |
| 5 | Czarni Polaniec | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 18:16 | 20 |
| 6 | Wislanie Skawina | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 15:11 | 17 |
| 7 | Jaroslaw | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 27:20 | 17 |
| 8 | Siarka Tarnobrzeg | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 14:15 | 14 |
| 9 | Hetman Zamosc | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 20:20 | 14 |
| 10 | Busko-Zdroj | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 17:21 | 14 |
| 11 | Kolbuszowa Dolna | 11 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 12:12 | 13 |
| 12 | Wisla II | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 13:16 | 13 |
| 13 | Biala Podlaska | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 10:13 | 12 |
| 14 | Korona Kielce II | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 23:27 | 11 |
| 15 | Star Starachowice | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 13:17 | 11 |
| 16 | KS Wieczysta Krakow II | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 10:14 | 11 |
| 17 | Moravia Morawica | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 13:22 | 8 |
| 18 | Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 11:21 | 7 |
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)
