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Hetman Zamosc vs Czarni Polaniec - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group IV
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Hetman Zamosc host Czarni Polaniec in the III Liga - Group IV. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Hetman Zamosc have averaged 1.48 scored and 2.62 conceded recently, against Czarni Polaniec's 1.67 scored and 1.37 conceded. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. The numbers (1.81 xG vs 1.81) point toward Czarni Polaniec. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Hetman Zamosc
35%
Draws
32%
Czarni Polaniec
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Czarni Polaniec carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Hetman Zamosc a 36% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Hetman Zamosc Clean Sheet 11%
Czarni Polaniec Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hetman Zamosc Czarni Polaniec
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 7 15
Draws 7 6
Losses 15 9
Goals Scored 1.48 1.67
Goals Conceded 2.62 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hetman Zamosc 35 / 100
Czarni Polaniec 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hetman Zamosc Czarni Polaniec

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hetman Zamosc's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Czarni Polaniec let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Hetman Zamosc went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Away concern: Czarni Polaniec has suffered 1 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Hetman Zamosc VS Czarni Polaniec
2 Goals Scored 1.63
2 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Hetman Zamosc

(Home)
04 Oct
Hetman Zamosc
2 : 2
Chelmianka Chelm
27 Sept
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
1 : 2
Hetman Zamosc
19 Sept
Hetman Zamosc
3 : 3
Wisla II
12 Sept
Naprzod Jedrzejow
4 : 2
Hetman Zamosc
05 Sept
Hetman Zamosc
2 : 1
Moravia Morawica
Page 1 of 6

Czarni Polaniec

(Away)
03 Oct
Czarni Polaniec
1 : 1
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
25 Sept
Wisla II
1 : 1
Czarni Polaniec
19 Sept
Czarni Polaniec
2 : 5
Naprzod Jedrzejow
13 Sept
Moravia Morawica
1 : 2
Czarni Polaniec
05 Sept
Czarni Polaniec
3 : 0
Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chelmianka Chelm 11 8 3 0 18:5 27
2 Wisloka Debica 11 7 1 3 16:13 22
3 Naprzod Jedrzejow 11 6 2 3 27:21 20
4 Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski 11 5 5 1 16:9 20
5 Czarni Polaniec 11 6 2 3 18:16 20
6 Wislanie Skawina 11 5 2 4 15:11 17
7 Jaroslaw 11 5 2 4 27:20 17
8 Siarka Tarnobrzeg 11 4 2 5 14:15 14
9 Hetman Zamosc 11 3 5 3 20:20 14
10 Busko-Zdroj 11 4 2 5 17:21 14
11 Kolbuszowa Dolna 11 2 7 2 12:12 13
12 Wisla II 11 3 4 4 13:16 13
13 Biala Podlaska 11 3 3 5 10:13 12
14 Korona Kielce II 11 3 2 6 23:27 11
15 Star Starachowice 11 2 5 4 13:17 11
16 KS Wieczysta Krakow II 11 3 2 6 10:14 11
17 Moravia Morawica 11 2 2 7 13:22 8
18 Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow 11 2 1 8 11:21 7
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)