Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Hetman Zamosc vs Siarka Tarnobrzeg

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group IV 2020/2021
Our Tip

Match Events

43' Event
Janeczko M.
57' Event
Baldyga D.
65' Event
Baldyga D.

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group IV 2020/2021 game between Hetman Zamosc and Siarka Tarnobrzeg finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Siarka Tarnobrzeg.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Hetman Zamosc
39%
Draws
30%
Siarka Tarnobrzeg
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Hetman Zamosc haven't matched Siarka Tarnobrzeg's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Hetman Zamosc Clean Sheet 20%
Siarka Tarnobrzeg Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hetman Zamosc Siarka Tarnobrzeg
Matches Played 29 35
Wins 4 14
Draws 1 10
Losses 24 11
Goals Scored 0.5 1.13
Goals Conceded 0 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 12, 2021 III Liga - Group IV
Hetman Zamosc vs Siarka Tarnobrzeg
0:3
Nov 14, 2020 III Liga - Group IV
Siarka Tarnobrzeg vs Hetman Zamosc
4:1
May 2, 2020 III Liga - Group IV
Hetman Zamosc vs Siarka Tarnobrzeg
0:0
Sep 28, 2019 III Liga - Group IV
Siarka Tarnobrzeg vs Hetman Zamosc
2:0
Jun 6, 2000 Division 1
Hetman Zamosc vs Siarka Tarnobrzeg
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hetman Zamosc Compare

Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25

Siarka Tarnobrzeg Compare

Top Goalscorer Baldyga D.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Janeczko M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hetman Zamosc 32 / 100
Siarka Tarnobrzeg 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hetman Zamosc Siarka Tarnobrzeg

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TAR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Siarka Tarnobrzeg let in goals in 71% of their last 35 matches.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Siarka Tarnobrzeg lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Hetman Zamosc's goal record stands at 55% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Hetman Zamosc VS Siarka Tarnobrzeg
0.5 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Wisla Pulawy403064100:3196
2Chelmianka Chelm402271170:4573
3Sokol Sieniawa402110962:3773
4Stal Stalowa Wola402271177:4473
5Avia Swidnik4020101088:4070
6Wisloka Debica4020101075:4570
7Podhale Nowy Targ4018111158:4965
8Wolczanka Wolka Pelkinska401881474:5862
9Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski401941763:5061
10Siarka Tarnobrzeg401781559:5259
11Cracovia II401591656:4954
12Sandomierz401591653:6254
13LKS Lagow4014101657:6252
14Biala Podlaska401462060:8448
15Orleta Radzyn401452158:7147
16Lewart Lubartow4011131646:4846
17Wiazownica401372053:8146
18Korona Kielce II401262250:7842
19Stal Krasnik4010121851:5842
20Jutrzenka Giebultow40772648:10928
21Hetman Zamosc40353235:14014