Sport Picks
Hetman Zamosc vs Siarka Tarnobrzeg - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Poland
III Liga - Group IV 
Match Events
19'
19'
Kromka A.
59'
59'
Skiba D.
AI Match Summary
The III Liga - Group IV game between Hetman Zamosc and Siarka Tarnobrzeg finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
37%
30%
33%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Hetman Zamosc
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
30%
/ Low Confidence
- Siarka Tarnobrzeg carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Hetman Zamosc a 42% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Hetman Zamosc Clean Sheet 10%
Siarka Tarnobrzeg Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Hetman Zamosc | Siarka Tarnobrzeg |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 34 |
| Wins | 7 | 13 |
| Draws | 7 | 8 |
| Losses | 15 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.48 | 1.68 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.62 | 1.35 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 2.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 2, 2026 III Liga - Group IV
Hetman Zamosc vs Siarka Tarnobrzeg
1:1
Jun 12, 2021 III Liga - Group IV
Hetman Zamosc vs Siarka Tarnobrzeg
0:3
Nov 14, 2020 III Liga - Group IV
Siarka Tarnobrzeg vs Hetman Zamosc
4:1
May 2, 2020 III Liga - Group IV
Hetman Zamosc vs Siarka Tarnobrzeg
0:0
Sep 28, 2019 III Liga - Group IV
Siarka Tarnobrzeg vs Hetman Zamosc
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Hetman Zamosc Compare
Top Goalscorer Skiba D.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75
Siarka Tarnobrzeg Compare
Top Goalscorer Kromka A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Hetman Zamosc 40 / 100
Siarka Tarnobrzeg 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Hetman Zamosc Siarka Tarnobrzeg
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Hetman Zamosc scored in 79% of their last 29 games.
Defensive concern: Siarka Tarnobrzeg conceded in 65% of 34 recent games.
H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.
Solid form: Hetman Zamosc remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Hetman Zamosc VS Siarka Tarnobrzeg
1.88 Goals Scored 1.75
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Hetman Zamosc
(Home) 04 Oct
Hetman Zamosc
2 : 2 Chelmianka Chelm
27 Sept
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
1 : 2 Hetman Zamosc
19 Sept
Hetman Zamosc
3 : 3 Wisla II
12 Sept
Naprzod Jedrzejow
4 : 2 Hetman Zamosc
05 Sept
Hetman Zamosc
2 : 1 Moravia Morawica
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Hetman Zamosc
2 : 2 Chelmianka Chelm
19 Sept
Hetman Zamosc
3 : 3 Wisla II
05 Sept
Hetman Zamosc
2 : 1 Moravia Morawica
22 Aug
Hetman Zamosc
0 : 1 Wislanie Skawina
15 Aug
Hetman Zamosc
3 : 0 Star Starachowice
Page 1 of 3
Siarka Tarnobrzeg
(Away) 03 Oct
Siarka Tarnobrzeg
1 : 2 Korona Kielce II
26 Sept
Star Starachowice
4 : 1 Siarka Tarnobrzeg
19 Sept
Siarka Tarnobrzeg
2 : 0 Biala Podlaska
12 Sept
Chelmianka Chelm
1 : 1 Siarka Tarnobrzeg
05 Sept
KS Wieczysta Krakow II
0 : 2 Siarka Tarnobrzeg
Page 1 of 7
26 Sept
Star Starachowice
4 : 1 Siarka Tarnobrzeg
12 Sept
Chelmianka Chelm
1 : 1 Siarka Tarnobrzeg
05 Sept
KS Wieczysta Krakow II
0 : 2 Siarka Tarnobrzeg
23 Aug
Kolbuszowa Dolna
2 : 0 Siarka Tarnobrzeg
15 Aug
Busko-Zdroj
1 : 4 Siarka Tarnobrzeg
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chelmianka Chelm | 11 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 18:5 | 27 |
| 2 | Wisloka Debica | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 16:13 | 22 |
| 3 | Naprzod Jedrzejow | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 27:21 | 20 |
| 4 | Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski | 11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 16:9 | 20 |
| 5 | Czarni Polaniec | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 18:16 | 20 |
| 6 | Wislanie Skawina | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 15:11 | 17 |
| 7 | Jaroslaw | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 27:20 | 17 |
| 8 | Siarka Tarnobrzeg | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 14:15 | 14 |
| 9 | Hetman Zamosc | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 20:20 | 14 |
| 10 | Busko-Zdroj | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 17:21 | 14 |
| 11 | Kolbuszowa Dolna | 11 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 12:12 | 13 |
| 12 | Wisla II | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 13:16 | 13 |
| 13 | Biala Podlaska | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 10:13 | 12 |
| 14 | Korona Kielce II | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 23:27 | 11 |
| 15 | Star Starachowice | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 13:17 | 11 |
| 16 | KS Wieczysta Krakow II | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 10:14 | 11 |
| 17 | Moravia Morawica | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 13:22 | 8 |
| 18 | Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 11:21 | 7 |
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)
