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Heur Tongeren vs Cappellen

Belgium Belgium

Second Amateur Division Group VFV B 2020/2021
Sat, Apr 10, 2021
VS
05:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Heur Tongeren host Cappellen in the Second Amateur Division Group VFV B 2020/2021. Heur Tongeren are expected to control this from the start. Recent numbers: Heur Tongeren at 1 goals for, 2.67 against; Cappellen at 1.66 for, 2.28 against. Head-to-head, Heur Tongeren have won 1 to Cappellen's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on Apr 11, 2021, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.54 - 1.24) back Heur Tongeren to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Heur Tongeren
35%
Draws
24%
Cappellen
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Heur Tongeren

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Cappellen carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Heur Tongeren are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular Second Amateur Division Group VFV B 2020/2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Heur Tongeren Clean Sheet 19%
Cappellen Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Heur Tongeren Cappellen
Matches Played 3 29
Wins 1 8
Draws 0 7
Losses 2 14
Goals Scored 1 1.66
Goals Conceded 2.67 2.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2021 Second Amateur Division Group VFV B
Cappellen vs Heur Tongeren
0:0
Apr 10, 2021 Second Amateur Division Group VFV B
Heur Tongeren vs Cappellen
0:0
Apr 28, 2019 Second Amateur Division Group VFV B
Heur Tongeren vs Cappellen
0:5
Dec 1, 2018 Second Amateur Division Group VFV B
Cappellen vs Heur Tongeren
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Heur Tongeren 67 / 100
Cappellen 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Heur Tongeren Cappellen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Heur Tongeren Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cappellen has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Heur Tongeren found the back of the net in 33% of recent matches (3 games).

Heur Tongeren went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Cappellen
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 1.88
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Heur Tongeren

(Home)
03 Feb
Gent
5 : 0
Heur Tongeren
11 Oct
Heur Tongeren
3 : 0
SG-Tertre Hautrage
04 Oct
Belisia Bilzen
3 : 0
Heur Tongeren

Cappellen

(Away)
26 Sept
Cappellen
3 : 3
Eendracht Termien
19 Sept
KVC Wilrijk
4 : 0
Cappellen
12 Sept
Cappellen
1 : 2
Boom
05 Sept
KSK Tongeren
0 : 0
Cappellen
29 Aug
Cappellen
3 : 3
De Kempen
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