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HFX Wanderers vs Pacific FC

Canada Canada

Canadian Premier League Wanderers Grounds
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Lajeunesse E.
Own Goal
32' Event
Arilla M.
34' Event
Bustos M.
Assist: Toualy Y. R.

AI Match Summary

The Canadian Premier League game between HFX Wanderers and Pacific FC finished 5-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward HFX Wanderers.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
HFX Wanderers
6%
Draws
4%
Pacific FC
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: HFX Wanderers

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and HFX Wanderers come out ahead of Pacific FC on wins alone.
  • HFX Wanderers are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Canadian Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
HFX Wanderers Clean Sheet 19%
Pacific FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric HFX Wanderers Pacific FC
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 8 3
Draws 7 9
Losses 15 17
Goals Scored 1 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.75 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 5, 2026 Canadian Premier League
Pacific FC vs HFX Wanderers
1:2
Jun 26, 2026 Canadian Premier League
HFX Wanderers vs Pacific FC
5:2
Apr 18, 2026 Canadian Premier League
HFX Wanderers vs Pacific FC
2:2
Sep 20, 2025 Canadian Premier League
HFX Wanderers vs Pacific FC
3:0
Aug 16, 2025 Canadian Premier League
Pacific FC vs HFX Wanderers
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

HFX Wanderers Compare

Top Goalscorer Arilla M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Johnston I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Pacific FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Bustos M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gomulka T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

HFX Wanderers 85 / 100
Pacific FC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
HFX Wanderers Pacific FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HFX Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pacific FC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 97% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 4.20 goals.

Attacking prowess: HFX Wanderers scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Pacific FC's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

HFX Wanderers VS Pacific FC
1 Goals Scored 0.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Forge FC12101120:731
2Cavalry1182122:526
3Atletico Ottawa1252518:2217
4HFX Wanderers1343617:2015
5Vancouver FC1242615:1414
6Inter Toronto1033413:2112
7Supra du Quebec1032514:1611
8Pacific FC1203913:273