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HFX Wanderers vs Atletico Ottawa

Canada Canada

Canadian Premier League Wanderers Grounds, Halifax, NS
HFX Wanderers Logo

HFX Wanderers

1 - 3
FT
Atletico Ottawa Logo

Atletico Ottawa

Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Tabla B.
Assist: Myklebust E.
26' Event
Antinoro G.
Assist: Tabla B.
36' Event
Tabla B.
(Penalty)
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Atletico Ottawa in this Canadian Premier League matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Atletico Ottawa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
HFX Wanderers
15%
Draws
46%
Atletico Ottawa
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Atletico Ottawa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Atletico Ottawa have won more games recently than HFX Wanderers.
  • 39% — that's where the model lands on HFX Wanderers taking it.
  • Regular Canadian Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Atletico Ottawa have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
HFX Wanderers Clean Sheet 11%
Atletico Ottawa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric HFX Wanderers Atletico Ottawa
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 9 14
Draws 6 5
Losses 15 12
Goals Scored 1.43 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.74
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 Canadian Premier League
HFX Wanderers vs Atletico Ottawa
0:1
Aug 8, 2026 Canadian Premier League
Atletico Ottawa vs HFX Wanderers
2:1
Jul 1, 2026 Canadian Premier League
HFX Wanderers vs Atletico Ottawa
1:3
May 17, 2026 Canadian Premier League
Atletico Ottawa vs HFX Wanderers
1:0
Oct 18, 2025 Canadian Premier League
HFX Wanderers vs Atletico Ottawa
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

HFX Wanderers Compare

Top Goalscorer Ciccarelli T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Atletico Ottawa Compare

Top Goalscorer Tabla B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Antinoro G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

HFX Wanderers 56 / 100
Atletico Ottawa 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
HFX Wanderers Atletico Ottawa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HFX Wanderers Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atletico Ottawa has conceded goals in 81% of their last 31 outings.

HFX Wanderers scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

HFX Wanderers went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

HFX Wanderers VS Atletico Ottawa
1.88 Goals Scored 1.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

HFX Wanderers

(Home)
26 Sept
HFX Wanderers
0 : 1
Atletico Ottawa
20 Sept
HFX Wanderers
4 : 1
Inter Toronto
12 Sept
Supra du Quebec
0 : 2
HFX Wanderers
07 Sept
HFX Wanderers
1 : 3
Cavalry
30 Aug
Pacific FC
4 : 3
HFX Wanderers
Page 1 of 6

Atletico Ottawa

(Away)
26 Sept
HFX Wanderers
0 : 1
Atletico Ottawa
20 Sept
Atletico Ottawa
0 : 2
Supra du Quebec
12 Sept
Forge FC
3 : 0
Atletico Ottawa
05 Sept
Atletico Ottawa
0 : 0
Pacific FC
28 Aug
Atletico Ottawa
2 : 1
Inter Toronto
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cavalry 23 16 5 2 48:13 53
2 Forge FC 23 14 5 4 35:17 47
3 Atletico Ottawa 24 11 4 9 35:39 37
4 Vancouver FC 25 9 6 10 35:33 33
5 HFX Wanderers 24 7 5 12 35:39 26
6 Supra du Quebec 23 7 4 12 31:44 25
7 Inter Toronto 23 5 9 9 36:53 24
8 Pacific FC 23 2 8 13 30:47 14
Promotion - Canadian Premier League (Play Offs)