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HFX Wanderers vs Cavalry - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Canada Canada

Canadian Premier League Wanderers Grounds, Halifax, NS
Mon, Oct 12, 2026
VS
08:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

HFX Wanderers host Cavalry in the Canadian Premier League. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. HFX Wanderers have averaged 1.38 scored and 1.72 conceded recently, against Cavalry's 2.06 scored and 1 conceded. Past meetings favor Cavalry slightly — 0-3-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 7, 2026, ending 1:3. The numbers (1.25 xG vs 2.00) point toward Cavalry. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
HFX Wanderers
20%
Draws
40%
Cavalry
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Cavalry carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
HFX Wanderers Clean Sheet 10%
Cavalry Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric HFX Wanderers Cavalry
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 7 18
Draws 7 7
Losses 15 6
Goals Scored 1.38 2.06
Goals Conceded 1.72 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 7, 2026 Canadian Premier League
HFX Wanderers vs Cavalry
1:3
Jul 18, 2026 Canadian Premier League
Cavalry vs HFX Wanderers
1:1
Jun 6, 2026 Canadian Premier League
Cavalry vs HFX Wanderers
2:0
Sep 13, 2025 Canadian Premier League
Cavalry vs HFX Wanderers
3:1
Aug 9, 2025 Canadian Premier League
Cavalry vs HFX Wanderers
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

HFX Wanderers 30 / 100
Cavalry 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
HFX Wanderers Cavalry

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

HFX Wanderers's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Cavalry has conceded goals in 68% of their last 31 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

HFX Wanderers went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

HFX Wanderers VS Cavalry
1.88 Goals Scored 2.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

HFX Wanderers

(Home)
03 Oct
Forge FC
3 : 3
HFX Wanderers
26 Sept
HFX Wanderers
0 : 1
Atletico Ottawa
20 Sept
HFX Wanderers
4 : 1
Inter Toronto
12 Sept
Supra du Quebec
0 : 2
HFX Wanderers
07 Sept
HFX Wanderers
1 : 3
Cavalry
Page 1 of 6

Cavalry

(Away)
03 Oct
Inter Toronto
3 : 1
Cavalry
30 Sept
Atletico Ottawa
3 : 2
Cavalry
26 Sept
Cavalry
6 : 0
Supra du Quebec
19 Sept
Cavalry
1 : 1
Forge FC
13 Sept
Pacific FC
0 : 1
Cavalry
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cavalry 25 16 5 4 51:19 53
2 Forge FC 24 14 6 4 38:20 48
3 Atletico Ottawa 25 12 4 9 38:41 40
4 Vancouver FC 25 9 6 10 35:33 33
5 Supra du Quebec 24 8 4 12 36:44 28
6 HFX Wanderers 25 7 6 12 38:42 27
7 Inter Toronto 24 6 9 9 39:54 27
8 Pacific FC 24 2 8 14 30:52 14
Promotion - Canadian Premier League (Play Offs)