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HFX Wanderers vs Cavalry

Canada Canada

Canadian Premier League Wanderers Grounds, Halifax, NS
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Match Events

26'
Myroniuk N.
46'
Sub
Myroniuk N. In: Kobza E.
Out: Myroniuk N.
48' Event
Edwards N.
Assist: Camargo S.

AI Match Summary

Cavalry in this Canadian Premier League matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Cavalry.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
HFX Wanderers
15%
Draws
61%
Cavalry
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cavalry

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • HFX Wanderers haven't matched Cavalry's recent run of results.
  • Cavalry are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
HFX Wanderers Clean Sheet 10%
Cavalry Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric HFX Wanderers Cavalry
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 7 18
Draws 7 6
Losses 14 4
Goals Scored 1.32 1.93
Goals Conceded 1.64 0.82
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 7, 2026 Canadian Premier League
HFX Wanderers vs Cavalry
1:3
Jul 18, 2026 Canadian Premier League
Cavalry vs HFX Wanderers
1:1
Jun 6, 2026 Canadian Premier League
Cavalry vs HFX Wanderers
2:0
Sep 13, 2025 Canadian Premier League
Cavalry vs HFX Wanderers
3:1
Aug 9, 2025 Canadian Premier League
Cavalry vs HFX Wanderers
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

HFX Wanderers Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Cavalry Compare

Top Goalscorer Edwards N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Warschewski T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

HFX Wanderers 10 / 100
Cavalry 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
HFX Wanderers Cavalry

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cavalry Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

HFX Wanderers scored in 75% of their last 28 games.

Cavalry has conceded goals in 64% of their last 28 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: HFX Wanderers stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

HFX Wanderers VS Cavalry
1.63 Goals Scored 2.13
2 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

HFX Wanderers

(Home)
12 Sept
Supra du Quebec
0 : 2
HFX Wanderers
07 Sept
HFX Wanderers
1 : 3
Cavalry
30 Aug
Pacific FC
4 : 3
HFX Wanderers
22 Aug
HFX Wanderers
1 : 0
Vancouver FC
16 Aug
Inter Toronto
4 : 3
HFX Wanderers
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Cavalry

(Away)
13 Sept
Pacific FC
0 : 1
Cavalry
07 Sept
HFX Wanderers
1 : 3
Cavalry
29 Aug
Cavalry
1 : 0
Vancouver FC
22 Aug
Cavalry
3 : 1
Atletico Ottawa
15 Aug
Cavalry
2 : 1
Forge FC
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cavalry 22 15 5 2 42:13 50
2 Forge FC 22 14 4 4 34:16 46
3 Atletico Ottawa 22 10 4 8 34:37 34
4 Vancouver FC 22 9 3 10 30:28 30
5 HFX Wanderers 22 6 5 11 31:37 23
6 Inter Toronto 20 5 8 7 29:42 23
7 Supra du Quebec 21 6 4 11 29:38 22
8 Pacific FC 21 1 7 13 25:43 10
Promotion - Canadian Premier League (Play Offs)