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HFX Wanderers vs Inter Toronto

Canada Canada

Canadian Premier League Wanderers Grounds, Halifax, NS
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Lopez R.
Assist: Accettola L.
9' Event
Johnston I.
Assist: Callegari L.
21'
Lopez R.

AI Match Summary

The Canadian Premier League game between HFX Wanderers and Inter Toronto finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward HFX Wanderers.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
HFX Wanderers
20%
Draws
29%
Inter Toronto
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: HFX Wanderers

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Inter Toronto haven't matched HFX Wanderers's recent run of results.
  • HFX Wanderers are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular Canadian Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
HFX Wanderers Clean Sheet 12%
Inter Toronto Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric HFX Wanderers Inter Toronto
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 9 7
Draws 7 10
Losses 14 11
Goals Scored 1.47 1.36
Goals Conceded 1.57 2.11
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Canadian Premier League
HFX Wanderers vs Inter Toronto
4:1
Aug 16, 2026 Canadian Premier League
Inter Toronto vs HFX Wanderers
4:3
May 23, 2026 Canadian Premier League
HFX Wanderers vs Inter Toronto
1:1
Apr 11, 2026 Canadian Premier League
Inter Toronto vs HFX Wanderers
2:2
Oct 22, 2025 Canadian Premier League
HFX Wanderers vs Inter Toronto
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

HFX Wanderers Compare

Top Goalscorer Johnston I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Callegari L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Inter Toronto Compare

Top Goalscorer Lopez R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

HFX Wanderers 56 / 100
Inter Toronto 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
HFX Wanderers Inter Toronto

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HFX Wanderers Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Inter Toronto let in goals in 89% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 4.60 goals.

HFX Wanderers found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

HFX Wanderers went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

HFX Wanderers VS Inter Toronto
1.63 Goals Scored 1.5
2 Goals Conceded 2.38
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

HFX Wanderers

(Home)
20 Sept
HFX Wanderers
4 : 1
Inter Toronto
12 Sept
Supra du Quebec
0 : 2
HFX Wanderers
07 Sept
HFX Wanderers
1 : 3
Cavalry
30 Aug
Pacific FC
4 : 3
HFX Wanderers
22 Aug
HFX Wanderers
1 : 0
Vancouver FC
Page 1 of 6

Inter Toronto

(Away)
20 Sept
HFX Wanderers
4 : 1
Inter Toronto
13 Sept
Inter Toronto
3 : 1
Vancouver FC
09 Sept
Inter Toronto
3 : 3
Pacific FC
05 Sept
Forge FC
1 : 1
Inter Toronto
28 Aug
Atletico Ottawa
2 : 1
Inter Toronto
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cavalry 22 15 5 2 42:13 50
2 Forge FC 22 14 4 4 34:16 46
3 Atletico Ottawa 23 10 4 9 34:39 34
4 Vancouver FC 23 9 4 10 31:29 31
5 HFX Wanderers 23 7 5 11 35:38 26
6 Supra du Quebec 22 7 4 11 31:38 25
7 Inter Toronto 21 5 8 8 30:46 23
8 Pacific FC 22 1 8 13 26:44 11
Promotion - Canadian Premier League (Play Offs)