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Hibernian vs Celtic - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Scotland Scotland

Premiership Easter Road, Edinburgh
Sun, Oct 25, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Hibernian host Celtic in the Premiership. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Celtic have shipped 1.34 goals a game lately, while Hibernian have conceded 1.17 and scored 1.45. Past meetings favor Celtic slightly — 1-3-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 3, 2026, ending 1:2. The numbers (1.44 xG vs 1.50) point toward Celtic. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Hibernian
15%
Draws
51%
Celtic
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Celtic

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Celtic have won more games recently than Hibernian.
  • Win probability leans Hibernian's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Hibernian Clean Sheet 16%
Celtic Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hibernian Celtic
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 12 21
Draws 6 4
Losses 11 7
Goals Scored 1.45 2.06
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Premiership
Hibernian vs Celtic
1:2
Feb 22, 2026 Premiership
Celtic vs Hibernian
1:2
Nov 30, 2025 Premiership
Hibernian vs Celtic
1:2
Sep 27, 2025 Premiership
Celtic vs Hibernian
0:0
May 10, 2025 Premiership
Celtic vs Hibernian
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hibernian 57 / 100
Celtic 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hibernian Celtic

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hibernian Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hibernian's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Celtic has conceded goals in 78% of their last 32 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Celtic has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Hibernian VS Celtic
1.25 Goals Scored 1.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Hibernian

(Home)
19 Sept
Hibernian
1 : 1
Aberdeen
15 Sept
Hibernian
0 : 1
Kilmarnock
12 Sept
Ross County
0 : 3
Hibernian
06 Sept
St Johnstone
2 : 1
Hibernian
03 Sept
Hibernian
1 : 3
Hearts
Page 1 of 6

Celtic

(Away)
20 Sept
Celtic
0 : 1
Rangers
17 Sept
Celtic
1 : 3
Ferencvaros
13 Sept
Rangers
3 : 0
Celtic
09 Sept
St Johnstone
0 : 1
Celtic
05 Sept
St. Mirren
1 : 2
Celtic
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Celtic 7 6 0 1 14:4 18
2 Rangers 7 5 1 1 8:4 16
3 Hearts 7 4 1 2 14:8 13
4 Dundee FC 7 3 1 3 9:7 10
5 St. Mirren 7 3 1 3 8:9 10
6 St Johnstone 7 2 2 3 9:10 8
7 Aberdeen 7 2 2 3 7:8 8
8 Dundee Utd 7 2 2 3 9:11 8
9 Motherwell 7 2 2 3 9:11 8
10 Hibernian 7 2 1 4 8:11 7
11 Falkirk 7 1 3 3 6:9 6
12 Kilmarnock 7 1 2 4 6:15 5
Promotion - Premiership (Championship Group)
Relegation - Premiership (Relegation Group)