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Hibernians vs Mosta FC

Malta Malta

Premier League 2025/2026 Centenary Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Bonnici D.
17'
Charleston
28'
Sub
Bolanos M. In: Oderinde C.
Out: Bolanos M.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2025/2026 game between Hibernians and Mosta FC finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Hibernians.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Hibernians
44%
Draws
20%
Mosta FC
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Hibernians come out ahead of Mosta FC on wins alone.
  • 44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Hibernians Clean Sheet 12%
Mosta FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hibernians Mosta FC
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 8
Draws 7 7
Losses 14 15
Goals Scored 1 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.88 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 24, 2026 Premier League
Hibernians vs Mosta FC
2:0
Jan 31, 2026 Premier League
Hibernians vs Mosta FC
1:0
Jan 11, 2026 Premier League
Hibernians vs Mosta FC
0:2
Sep 17, 2025 Premier League
Mosta FC vs Hibernians
2:2
Feb 23, 2025 Premier League
Hibernians vs Mosta FC
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hibernians Compare

Top Goalscorer Bonnici D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Mosta FC Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hibernians 35 / 100
Mosta FC 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hibernians Mosta FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MOS Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mosta FC let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Hibernians found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Solid form: Hibernians remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Hibernians VS Mosta FC
1 Goals Scored 1.63
1.88 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Floriana1174020:725
2Hamrun1164116:422
3Marsaxlokk1154212:1219
4Naxxar Lions1153320:1818
5Valletta1145216:717
6Gzira1152414:1217
7Sliema1144310:1116
8Birkirkara1134412:1213
9Hibernians1132611:1711
10Zabbar1124513:1510
11Tarxien111379:216
12Mosta FC111197:244