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Hibernians vs Nadur Prediction & H2H Stats

Malta Malta

FA Trophy 2021/2022 Tony Bezzina Stadium, Paola
Our Tip

Match Events

53' Event
Vella D.
81' Event
Grech J.

AI Match Summary

Hibernians in this FA Trophy 2021/2022 tie, finishing 2-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Hibernians
20%
Draws
48%
Nadur
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Nadur

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

32% / Low Confidence
  • Nadur have won more games recently than Hibernians.
  • Model gives Hibernians a 32% chance of winning this.
  • Nadur arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Hibernians, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Hibernians Clean Sheet 16%
Nadur Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hibernians Nadur
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 12 16
Draws 7 0
Losses 13 14
Goals Scored 1.31 2.53
Goals Conceded 1.44 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 8, 2022 FA Trophy
Hibernians vs Nadur
2:0
Jan 21, 2015 FA Trophy
Nadur vs Hibernians
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hibernians Compare

Top Goalscorer Vella D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Grech J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Nadur Compare

Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hibernians 48 / 100
Nadur 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hibernians Nadur

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hibernians Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hibernians's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Nadur has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Difficult form: Nadur registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Hibernians VS Nadur
0.88 Goals Scored 0
1.88 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Hibernians

(Home)
20 Sept
Hibernians
0 : 4
Floriana
12 Sept
Birkirkara
1 : 1
Hibernians
02 Sept
Hibernians
0 : 2
Valletta
28 Aug
Hibernians
1 : 1
Zabbar
21 Aug
Marsaxlokk
1 : 0
Hibernians
Page 1 of 7

Nadur

(Away)
01 Mar
Xewkija
1 : 0
Nadur
07 Dec
Nadur
1 : 4
Birzebbuga
07 Dec
Valletta
3 : 1
Nadur
14 Jan
Nadur
1 : 2
Sirens
13 Dec
Nadur
3 : 2
St. Andrews
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Gzira -
TBD -
Zabbar 3
Mqabba FC 0
Gudja -
TBD -
TBD -
Swieqi -
Victoria Hotspurs 1
Zebbug 4
Zurrieq 1
St. Andrews 3
Santa Lucia -
TBD -
TBD -
Sirens -
Sliema -
TBD -
Vittoriosa 2
Mellieha 0
Pembroke -
TBD -
Marsaxlokk 5
Kercem Ajax 2
Marsa -
TBD -
Senglea 1
Tarxien 2
Sannat Lions 1
Marsaskala FC 2
TBD -
Valletta -
Floriana -
TBD -
TBD -
Ghajnsielem -
Victoria Wanderers 1
Melita 3
Mgarr 1
St. George's FC 2
Birkirkara -
TBD -
Lija 0
Fgura 4
Mosta FC -
TBD -
TBD -
Luqa -
Balzan FC -
TBD -
Pieta 3
Rabat Ajax 2
Hamrun -
TBD -
Naxxar Lions 2
San Gwann 1
Zejtun -
TBD -
Qrendi 1
Xewkija 4
Hibernians -
TBD -
Nadur 7
Oratory 0
1/16-finals
Gzira 4
Zabbar 0
Gudja 4
Swieqi 0
Zebbug 0
St. Andrews 2
Santa Lucia 4
Sirens 1
Sliema 3
Vittoriosa 0
Pembroke 0
Marsaxlokk 1
Marsa 0
Tarxien 2
Marsaskala FC 0
Valletta 5
Floriana 1
Ghajnsielem 0
Melita 1
St. George's FC 2
Birkirkara 4
Fgura 0
Mosta FC 5
Luqa 0
Balzan FC 5
Pieta 1
Hamrun 1
Naxxar Lions 0
Zejtun 7
Xewkija 1
Hibernians 2
Nadur 0
1/8-finals
Gzira 3
Gudja 1
St. Andrews 1
Santa Lucia 2
Sliema 1
Marsaxlokk 2
Tarxien 1
Valletta 5
Floriana 2
St. George's FC 0
Birkirkara 1
Mosta FC 0
Balzan FC 1
Hamrun 2
Zejtun 1
Hibernians 2
Quarter-finals
Gzira 0
Santa Lucia 1
Marsaxlokk 0
Valletta 3
Floriana 3
Birkirkara 1
Hamrun 1
Hibernians 2
Semi-finals
Santa Lucia 0
Valletta 1
Floriana 2
Hibernians 1
Final
Valletta 1
Floriana 2