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Hibiscus Coast vs Coastal Spirit

New Zealand New Zealand

Chatham Cup 2024
Sat, Jul 27, 2024
3 - 4
02:00 AM
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Steinwascher A.
45' Event
Cyra D.
52' Event
Dickinson A.

AI Match Summary

Coastal Spirit in this Chatham Cup 2024 matchup, with the score ending 3-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Coastal Spirit.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Hibiscus Coast
6%
Draws
4%
Coastal Spirit
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Hibiscus Coast

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Coastal Spirit lately — more wins on the board than Hibiscus Coast.
  • Win probability leans Hibiscus Coast's way, sitting at 90%.
  • It's a cup tie, so expect more urgency than a normal Chatham Cup 2024 game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Hibiscus Coast Clean Sheet 20%
Coastal Spirit Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hibiscus Coast Coastal Spirit
Matches Played 3 27
Wins 2 8
Draws 0 5
Losses 1 14
Goals Scored 0.5 0.75
Goals Conceded 0 2.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 27, 2024 Chatham Cup
Hibiscus Coast vs Coastal Spirit
3:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hibiscus Coast Compare

Top Goalscorer Cyra D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Dickinson A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25

Coastal Spirit Compare

Top Goalscorer Hoole J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Steinwascher A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hibiscus Coast 85 / 100
Coastal Spirit 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hibiscus Coast Coastal Spirit

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HIB Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hibiscus Coast scored in 100% of their last 3 games.

Games between these two average 7.00 goals.

Coastal Spirit let in goals in 70% of their last 27 matches.

Away concern: Coastal Spirit has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Hibiscus Coast VS Coastal Spirit
0.5 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 2.63
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Melville0
Hibiscus Coast1
Ferrymead Bays3
Coastal Spirit5
Wellington Olympic8
Stop Out SC0
Manurewa3
Onehunga Mangere2
Otago University3
Dunedin City Royals2
Cambridge1
Auckland City4
Napier City2
Miramar1
Western Springs3
Birkenhead4
Quarter-finals
Hibiscus Coast3
Coastal Spirit4
Wellington Olympic4
Manurewa0
Otago University1
Auckland City5
Napier City1
Birkenhead2
Semi-finals
Coastal Spirit1
Wellington Olympic5
Auckland City4
Birkenhead2
Final
Wellington Olympic2
Auckland City1