Sport Picks
Match Events
53'
53'
Krasnov I.
90'
90'
Poopuu E.
Own Goal
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 0-2. The second leg ended 0-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
28%
15%
57%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Nomme Utd
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
57%
/ Medium Confidence
- Nomme Utd carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Nomme Utd a 57% chance of winning this.
- Nomme Utd arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Nomme Utd, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.2%
Hiiumaa Clean Sheet 10%
Nomme Utd Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Hiiumaa | Nomme Utd |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 11 | 29 |
| Wins | 3 | 11 |
| Draws | 0 | 1 |
| Losses | 8 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 1.82 | 1.93 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.18 | 2.17 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 2.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 19, 2026 Estonian Cup
Hiiumaa vs Nomme Utd
0:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Hiiumaa Compare
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75
Nomme Utd Compare
Top Goalscorer Krasnov I.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.99
Avg xA / game 1.22
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Hiiumaa 26 / 100
Nomme Utd 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Hiiumaa Nomme Utd
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Nomme Utd Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Nomme Utd let in goals in 93% of their last 29 matches.
Hiiumaa's goal record stands at 64% scoring rate across 11 recent games.
H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.
Difficult form: Nomme Utd registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Hiiumaa VS Nomme Utd
1 Goals Scored 2.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Hiiumaa
(Home) 19 Aug
Hiiumaa
0 : 2 Nomme Utd
22 Jul
Hiiumaa
4 : 1 Tulevik
20 Jun
Cilicia
2 : 0 Hiiumaa
17 Jun
Hiiumaa
0 : 1 Tera Vilnius
02 Jul
Hiiumaa
0 : 3 Tallinna Kalev
Page 1 of 3
19 Aug
Hiiumaa
0 : 2 Nomme Utd
22 Jul
Hiiumaa
4 : 1 Tulevik
17 Jun
Hiiumaa
0 : 1 Tera Vilnius
02 Jul
Hiiumaa
0 : 3 Tallinna Kalev
30 Oct
Hiiumaa
2 : 3 Tallinna FC Zapoos
Page 1 of 2
Nomme Utd
(Away) 12 Sept
Nomme Utd
2 : 3 Flora
08 Sept
Kalju
1 : 2 Nomme Utd
05 Sept
Parnu JK Vaprus
1 : 0 Nomme Utd
02 Sept
Nomme Utd
3 : 2 Parnu JK Vaprus
29 Aug
Nomme Utd
1 : 2 Harju JK Laagri
Page 1 of 6
08 Sept
Kalju
1 : 2 Nomme Utd
05 Sept
Parnu JK Vaprus
1 : 0 Nomme Utd
23 Aug
Paide Linnameeskond
4 : 1 Nomme Utd
19 Aug
Hiiumaa
0 : 2 Nomme Utd
09 Aug
Levadia
5 : 0 Nomme Utd
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
Flora -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
JK Arsenal 0
Tallinna Kalev U21 3
Rakvere FC Freedom 3
Kena JK 2
EstHam United -
TBD -
Kose 8
Kummik 0
Rumori Calcio II -
TBD -
TBD -
Tartu JK Welco -
Laanemaa Haapsalu -
TBD -
Jarva-Jaani 0
Elva 4
Arukula Vigri -
TBD -
TBD -
Raasiku Joker -
Tammeka Tartu U19 -
TBD -
TBD -
Tallinna Kalev -
Tartu Kalev 4
Paide Linnameeskond III 3
TBD -
Kuusalu Kalev -
Narva 10
Vana Hea Puur 0
TBD -
Flora Tallinn U21 -
Marjamaa Kompanii -
TBD -
TBD -
Generation Tallinn -
JK Poseidon -
TBD -
Helm 30
Deliirium 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kalju -
Hiiumaa -
TBD -
TBD -
Tulevik -
Nomme Utd -
TBD -
TBD -
Raplamaa -
Johvi Phoenix 4
Elva III 2
TBD -
FC Hell Hunt -
Lahte United 1
Tabasalu Ulasabat 3
TBD -
Parnu JK Vaprus -
Kristiine -
TBD -
TBD -
Jogeva Wolves -
Kuressaare -
TBD -
TBD -
Tartu JK Welco 2 -
TransferWise -
TBD -
TBD -
Olympic Tallinn -
Saku Sporting -
TBD -
TBD -
Legion -
Kohvile -
TBD -
TBD -
Rumori Calcio -
Tammeka Tartu -
TBD -
TBD -
Zealot Sporting -
Tartu Helios -
TBD -
TBD -
Soccernet -
Viimsi JK -
TBD -
TBD -
Nomme Utd U19 -
FC Tallinn -
TBD -
TBD -
Tallinna FC Zapoos -
Saue JK Laagri 6
Viimsi Lovid 0
TBD -
Harju JK Laagri U21 -
Harju JK Laagri -
TBD -
TBD -
Rae Spordikool -
Tallinna Wolves 0
Tabasalu 10
TBD -
Tamper -
Levadia -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Paide Linnameeskond -
TalTech JK -
TBD -
TBD -
Keila JK -
Flora U19 -
TBD -
TBD -
Pohja-Tallinna -
1/32-finals
Flora -
TBD -
Tallinna Kalev U21 4
Rakvere FC Freedom 2
EstHam United 1
Kose 5
Rumori Calcio II 0
Tartu JK Welco 12
Laanemaa Haapsalu 0
Elva 6
Arukula Vigri 0
Raasiku Joker 1
Tammeka Tartu U19 0
Tallinna Kalev 8
Tartu Kalev 7
Kuusalu Kalev 0
Narva 1
Flora Tallinn U21 0
Marjamaa Kompanii 8
Generation Tallinn 4
JK Poseidon 3
Helm 2
TBD -
Kalju -
Hiiumaa 4
Tulevik 1
Nomme Utd 12
Raplamaa 0
Johvi Phoenix 8
FC Hell Hunt 1
Tabasalu Ulasabat 1
Parnu JK Vaprus 4
Kristiine 8
Jogeva Wolves 3
Kuressaare 5
Tartu JK Welco 2 1
TransferWise 3
Olympic Tallinn 6
Saku Sporting 2
Legion 1
Kohvile 1
Rumori Calcio 4
Tammeka Tartu 19
Zealot Sporting 0
Tartu Helios -
Soccernet -
Viimsi JK 4
Nomme Utd U19 0
FC Tallinn 4
Tallinna FC Zapoos 1
Saue JK Laagri 1
Harju JK Laagri U21 2
Harju JK Laagri 8
Rae Spordikool 0
Tabasalu 0
Tamper 2
Levadia -
TBD -
TBD -
Paide Linnameeskond -
TalTech JK 0
Keila JK 6
Flora U19 6
Pohja-Tallinna 3
1/16-finals
Flora -
Tallinna Kalev U21 -
Kose 0
Tartu JK Welco 8
Elva -
Raasiku Joker -
Tallinna Kalev 8
Tartu Kalev 0
Narva 8
Marjamaa Kompanii 0
JK Poseidon 0
Kalju 12
Hiiumaa 0
Nomme Utd 2
Johvi Phoenix 0
Parnu JK Vaprus 5
Kristiine 0
Kuressaare 8
Olympic Tallinn 0
Saku Sporting 7
Rumori Calcio 0
Tammeka Tartu 1
Tartu Helios 1
Viimsi JK 4
FC Tallinn -
Harju JK Laagri U21 -
Harju JK Laagri 3
Tamper 1
Levadia 4
Paide Linnameeskond 1
Keila JK 3
Flora U19 2
1/8-finals
TBD -
Tartu JK Welco -
Elva -
Tallinna Kalev -
Narva 2
Kalju 0
Nomme Utd 3
Parnu JK Vaprus 2
Kuressaare -
Saku Sporting -
Tammeka Tartu -
Viimsi JK -
TBD -
Harju JK Laagri -
Levadia -
Keila JK -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -
