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Hilal Alsahil vs Hay al-Arab

Sudan Sudan

Premier League 2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Premier League 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Hilal Alsahil
17%
Draws
13%
Hay al-Arab
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Hilal Alsahil

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Hilal Alsahil lately — more wins on the board than Hay al-Arab.
  • Win probability leans Hilal Alsahil's way, sitting at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Hilal Alsahil Clean Sheet 20%
Hay al-Arab Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hilal Alsahil Hay al-Arab
Matches Played 35 27
Wins 13 9
Draws 16 7
Losses 6 11
Goals Scored 1.5 1.5
Goals Conceded 0.75 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 14, 2025 Premier League
Hay al-Arab vs Hilal Alsahil
1:1
Jan 24, 2025 Premier League
Hilal Alsahil vs Hay al-Arab
1:1
Feb 19, 2023 Premier League
Hilal Alsahil vs Hay al-Arab
0:0
Jan 6, 2023 Premier League
Hay al-Arab vs Hilal Alsahil
1:0
Jun 14, 2022 Premier League
Hilal Alsahil vs Hay al-Arab
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hilal Alsahil 67 / 100
Hay al-Arab 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hilal Alsahil Hay al-Arab

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HAL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hay al-Arab has conceded goals in 84% of their last 25 outings.

Hilal Alsahil scored in 71% of their last 35 games.

Solid form: Hilal Alsahil remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Hilal Alsahil VS Hay al-Arab
1.5 Goals Scored 1.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Hilal Alsahil

(Home)
09 Jun
Hilal Alsahil
2 : 2
Madani
06 Jun
Hilal Alsahil
0 : 1
Al-Merreikh II
01 Jun
Hilal Alsahil
2 : 0
Umm Mughad
28 May
Al-Hilal Omdurman II
3 : 1
Hilal Alsahil
23 May
Hay Al Wadi
0 : 2
Hilal Alsahil
Page 1 of 7

Hay al-Arab

(Away)
14 Feb
Hay al-Arab
1 : 1
Hilal Alsahil
11 Feb
Hay al-Arab
2 : 1
Al Shorta
06 Feb
Hay al-Arab
1 : 2
Al Hilal Manaqil
03 Feb
Hay al-Arab
1 : 2
Al-Mergheni
24 Jan
Hilal Alsahil
1 : 1
Hay al-Arab
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al-Mergheni83419:613
2Hilal Alsahil82607:512
3Al Shorta82338:89
4Al Hilal Manaqil82338:79
5Hay al-Arab82248:148
6Wad Nobawi00000:00
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League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al-Merreikh Obeid1061318:1219
2Zamala Ruwaba1045116:1117
3Rabita Kosti103528:914
4Hilal El-Fasher1033414:1412
5Haidob Al Nuhod1033410:1312
6Merikh Nyala101369:166
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Promotion - Premier League 2025 (Championship Group)

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Hay Al Wadi63306:312
2Umm Mughad61505:48
3Al-Ahly Merowe61322:36
4Kober61143:64
5Al Zoma00000:00
6Tuti00000:00
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Promotion - Premier League 2025 (Championship Group)

League Standings (Group 4)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Madani851211:616
2Alamal SC Atbara835011:714
3Ahli Khartoum82338:109
4Alfalah Atbra82337:99
5Ahli Shendi81252:75
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Promotion - Premier League 2025 (Championship Group)