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Hilal El-Fasher vs Merikh Nyala

Sudan Sudan

Premier League 2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Hilal El-Fasher play Merikh Nyala in the Premier League 2025. Hilal El-Fasher are favorites here. Recently, Hilal El-Fasher averaged 0.75 goals scored and 0.75 conceded. Merikh Nyala averaged 1 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. In past meetings, Hilal El-Fasher won 2, Merikh Nyala won 0, and they drew 2. Their last match on Feb 7, 2025 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.20 for Hilal El-Fasher and 1.00 for Merikh Nyala. This points to a Hilal El-Fasher double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Hilal El-Fasher
28%
Draws
22%
Merikh Nyala
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Hilal El-Fasher

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Hilal El-Fasher has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Merikh Nyala.
  • Model forecasts a 50% win probability edge for Hilal El-Fasher.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Premier League 2025 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Hilal El-Fasher Clean Sheet 20%
Merikh Nyala Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hilal El-Fasher Merikh Nyala
Matches Played 36 30
Wins 12 3
Draws 11 5
Losses 13 22
Goals Scored 0.75 1
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 7, 2025 Premier League
Merikh Nyala vs Hilal El-Fasher
1:1
Jan 15, 2025 Premier League
Hilal El-Fasher vs Merikh Nyala
1:0
Sep 2, 2016 Premier League
Merikh Nyala vs Hilal El-Fasher
0:0
Mar 18, 2016 Premier League
Hilal El-Fasher vs Merikh Nyala
3:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hilal El-Fasher 49 / 100
Merikh Nyala 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hilal El-Fasher Merikh Nyala

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HIL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hilal El-Fasher scored in 64% of their last 36 games.

Merikh Nyala let in goals in 93% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Hilal El-Fasher went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Merikh Nyala lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Hilal El-Fasher VS Merikh Nyala
0.75 Goals Scored 1
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al-Mergheni83419:613
2Hilal Alsahil82607:512
3Al Shorta82338:89
4Al Hilal Manaqil82338:79
5Hay al-Arab82248:148
6Wad Nobawi00000:00
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al-Merreikh Obeid1061318:1219
2Zamala Ruwaba1045116:1117
3Rabita Kosti103528:914
4Hilal El-Fasher1033414:1412
5Haidob Al Nuhod1033410:1312
6Merikh Nyala101369:166
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Hay Al Wadi63306:312
2Umm Mughad61505:48
3Al-Ahly Merowe61322:36
4Kober61143:64
5Al Zoma00000:00
6Tuti00000:00
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Madani851211:616
2Alamal SC Atbara835011:714
3Ahli Khartoum82338:109
4Alfalah Atbra82337:99
5Ahli Shendi81252:75