Sport Picks

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Hilal El-Fasher vs Merikh Nyala

Sudan Sudan

Premier League 2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Hilal El-Fasher in this Premier League 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Hilal El-Fasher.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Hilal El-Fasher
28%
Draws
22%
Merikh Nyala
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Hilal El-Fasher

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Merikh Nyala haven't matched Hilal El-Fasher's recent run of results.
  • Hilal El-Fasher are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Hilal El-Fasher Clean Sheet 20%
Merikh Nyala Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hilal El-Fasher Merikh Nyala
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 3
Draws 11 5
Losses 10 22
Goals Scored 1.25 1
Goals Conceded 0.88 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 7, 2025 Premier League
Merikh Nyala vs Hilal El-Fasher
1:1
Jan 15, 2025 Premier League
Hilal El-Fasher vs Merikh Nyala
1:0
Sep 2, 2016 Premier League
Merikh Nyala vs Hilal El-Fasher
0:0
Mar 18, 2016 Premier League
Hilal El-Fasher vs Merikh Nyala
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hilal El-Fasher 49 / 100
Merikh Nyala 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hilal El-Fasher Merikh Nyala

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HIL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Merikh Nyala's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 30 matches.

Hilal El-Fasher's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Merikh Nyala lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Hilal El-Fasher VS Merikh Nyala
1.25 Goals Scored 1
0.88 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 100%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Hilal El-Fasher

(Home)
09 Jun
Hilal El-Fasher
0 : 0
Hay Al Wadi
05 Jun
Al-Hilal Omdurman II
1 : 0
Hilal El-Fasher
02 Jun
Hilal El-Fasher
3 : 0
Alfalah Atbra
28 May
Umm Mughad
2 : 1
Hilal El-Fasher
23 May
Al-Merreikh II
2 : 0
Hilal El-Fasher
Page 1 of 6

Merikh Nyala

(Away)
19 Feb
Merikh Nyala
1 : 2
Haidob Al Nuhod
14 Feb
Merikh Nyala
1 : 1
Rabita Kosti
10 Feb
Al-Merreikh Obeid
3 : 2
Merikh Nyala
07 Feb
Merikh Nyala
1 : 1
Hilal El-Fasher
04 Feb
Merikh Nyala
0 : 3
Zamala Ruwaba
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al-Mergheni83419:613
2Hilal Alsahil82607:512
3Al Shorta82338:89
4Al Hilal Manaqil82338:79
5Hay al-Arab82248:148
6Wad Nobawi00000:00
Promotion - Premier League 2025 (Championship Group)
Promotion - Premier League 2025 (Championship Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al-Merreikh Obeid1061318:1219
2Zamala Ruwaba1045116:1117
3Rabita Kosti103528:914
4Hilal El-Fasher1033414:1412
5Haidob Al Nuhod1033410:1312
6Merikh Nyala101369:166
Promotion - Premier League 2025 (Championship Group)
Promotion - Premier League 2025 (Championship Group)

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Hay Al Wadi63306:312
2Umm Mughad61505:48
3Al-Ahly Merowe61322:36
4Kober61143:64
5Al Zoma00000:00
6Tuti00000:00
Promotion - Premier League 2025 (Championship Group)
Promotion - Premier League 2025 (Championship Group)

League Standings (Group 4)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Madani851211:616
2Alamal SC Atbara835011:714
3Ahli Khartoum82338:109
4Alfalah Atbra82337:99
5Ahli Shendi81252:75
Promotion - Premier League 2025 (Championship Group)
Promotion - Premier League 2025 (Championship Group)