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Hilal El Obied vs Hay al-Arab

Sudan Sudan

Premier League 2021/2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2021/2022 game between Hilal El Obied and Hay al-Arab finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Hilal El Obied.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Hilal El Obied
39%
Draws
31%
Hay al-Arab
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Hilal El Obied haven't matched Hay al-Arab's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Hilal El Obied Clean Sheet 20%
Hay al-Arab Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hilal El Obied Hay al-Arab
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 8 9
Draws 5 7
Losses 17 13
Goals Scored 0 1.5
Goals Conceded 0 1

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 20, 2022 Premier League
Hilal El Obied vs Hay al-Arab
2:1
Feb 11, 2022 Premier League
Hay al-Arab vs Hilal El Obied
1:2
Aug 2, 2021 Premier League
Hay al-Arab vs Hilal El Obied
1:0
Mar 10, 2021 Premier League
Hilal El Obied vs Hay al-Arab
2:1
Sep 16, 2020 Premier League
Hilal El Obied vs Hay al-Arab
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hilal El Obied 31 / 100
Hay al-Arab 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hilal El Obied Hay al-Arab

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HIL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hay al-Arab's defensive record shows goals conceded in 85% of 27 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Hilal El Obied has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Hilal El Obied's goal record stands at 53% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Hay al-Arab
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Hilal El Obied

(Home)
26 Jul
Hilal El Obied
0 : 0
Hilal El-Fasher
22 Jul
Hilal El Obied
3 : 1
Al-Khartoum
19 Jul
Hilal Alsahil
2 : 3
Hilal El Obied
15 Jul
Hilal El Obied
1 : 2
Wad Nobawi
12 Jul
Hay Al Wadi
2 : 1
Hilal El Obied
Page 1 of 6

Hay al-Arab

(Away)
14 Feb
Hay al-Arab
1 : 1
Hilal Alsahil
11 Feb
Hay al-Arab
2 : 1
Al Shorta
06 Feb
Hay al-Arab
1 : 2
Al Hilal Manaqil
03 Feb
Hay al-Arab
1 : 2
Al-Mergheni
24 Jan
Hilal Alsahil
1 : 1
Hay al-Arab
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al-Hilal Omdurman30245159:1377
2Al-Merreikh30228056:1174
3Hilal Alsahil30139842:3148
4Ahli Shendi301261226:2742
5Ahli Khartoum301171222:2440
6Hilal El-Fasher3010101026:2840
7Kober309101129:3137
8Wad Nobawi308121023:2936
9Al-Ahly Merowe308111134:4035
10Tuti308101221:2934
11Hay al-Arab307131019:2134
12Hay Al Wadi308101223:3034
13Alamal SC Atbara307121122:3533
14Al Shorta30881427:3732
15Hilal El Obied30851723:4029
16Al-Khartoum30581732:5823
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2022/2023 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2022/2023 (Qualification)