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Stadium Background

Hillerod vs Aalborg - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Denmark Denmark

1st Division Hillerød Stadion, Hillerød
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
11:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Hillerod host Aalborg in the 1st Division. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Aalborg have shipped 1.41 goals a game lately, while Hillerod have conceded 1.34 and scored 1.48. Past meetings favor Aalborg slightly — 0-3-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jul 24, 2026, ending 1:0. xG projections (1.44 - 1.00) back Aalborg to edge this. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Hillerod
35%
Draws
42%
Aalborg
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Aalborg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Aalborg carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Aalborg are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Hillerod Clean Sheet 20%
Aalborg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hillerod Aalborg
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 11
Draws 9 10
Losses 12 8
Goals Scored 1.48 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.34 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 24, 2026 1st Division
Aalborg vs Hillerod
1:0
Feb 27, 2026 1st Division
Aalborg vs Hillerod
3:3
Jul 26, 2025 1st Division
Hillerod vs Aalborg
2:2
Jul 4, 2025 Club Friendly
Aalborg vs Hillerod
4:1
Mar 16, 2024 1st Division
Hillerod vs Aalborg
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hillerod 28 / 100
Aalborg 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hillerod Aalborg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aalborg Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.

Hillerod scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Aalborg conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

Recent resilience: Hillerod stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Hillerod VS Aalborg
1.5 Goals Scored 1.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Hillerod

(Home)
10 Oct
Hillerod
0 : 2
Fredericia
18 Sept
Kolding IF
1 : 1
Hillerod
12 Sept
Hillerod
1 : 0
AB Copenhagen
09 Sept
Vanlose
2 : 1
Hillerod
04 Sept
Koge
1 : 1
Hillerod
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Aalborg

(Away)
10 Oct
Esbjerg
3 : 3
Aalborg
02 Oct
Randers FC
0 : 1
Aalborg
20 Sept
Aalborg
2 : 2
Vendsyssel FF
12 Sept
Hvidovre IF
2 : 2
Aalborg
05 Sept
AB Copenhagen
0 : 2
Aalborg
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hvidovre IF 10 7 3 0 20:10 24
2 Vejle 10 5 4 1 23:15 19
3 Fredericia 10 4 5 1 14:6 17
4 Aalborg 10 3 5 2 14:14 14
5 Hobro 10 4 2 4 13:17 14
6 Aarhus Fremad 10 3 4 3 10:11 13
7 AB Copenhagen 10 3 3 4 13:10 12
8 Koge 10 2 4 4 13:17 10
9 Vendsyssel FF 10 2 4 4 10:16 10
10 Kolding IF 10 1 6 3 11:13 9
11 Hillerod 10 2 3 5 13:16 9
12 Esbjerg 10 1 3 6 13:22 6
Promotion - 1st Division (Promotion Group)
Relegation - 1st Division (Relegation Group)