Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Hillerod vs Aarhus Fremad

Denmark Denmark

1st Division Hillerød Stadion, Hillerød
Hillerod Logo

Hillerod

1 - 1
FT
Aarhus Fremad Logo

Aarhus Fremad

Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Egerton E.
Assist: Grube F.
35'
Sub
Hoyer A. In: Larsen S.
Out: Hoyer A.
41'
Witt J.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The 1st Division game between Hillerod and Aarhus Fremad finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Hillerod
35%
Draws
32%
Aarhus Fremad
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Aarhus Fremad come out ahead of Hillerod on wins alone.
  • Hillerod are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Hillerod Clean Sheet 68%
Aarhus Fremad Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hillerod Aarhus Fremad
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 14
Draws 11 7
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 1.6 1.4
Goals Conceded 1.4 0.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 1st Division
Hillerod vs Aarhus Fremad
1:1
Mar 21, 2026 1st Division
Hillerod vs Aarhus Fremad
1:0
Aug 9, 2025 1st Division
Aarhus Fremad vs Hillerod
3:1
Mar 19, 2022 2nd Division
Aarhus Fremad vs Hillerod
3:1
Sep 4, 2021 2nd Division
Hillerod vs Aarhus Fremad
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hillerod Compare

Top Goalscorer Corlu R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Aarhus Fremad Compare

Top Goalscorer Egerton E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hillerod 77 / 100
Aarhus Fremad 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hillerod Aarhus Fremad

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hillerod Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 5:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hillerod's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Hillerod stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Aarhus Fremad let in goals in 57% of their last 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Hillerod VS Aarhus Fremad
3.38 Goals Scored 1.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.38
88% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Hillerod

(Home)
18 Sept
Kolding IF
1 : 1
Hillerod
12 Sept
Hillerod
1 : 0
AB Copenhagen
09 Sept
Vanlose
2 : 1
Hillerod
04 Sept
Koge
1 : 1
Hillerod
30 Aug
Hillerod
3 : 1
Hobro
Page 1 of 6

Aarhus Fremad

(Away)
19 Sept
Aarhus Fremad
1 : 3
Hvidovre IF
16 Sept
Horsholm-Usserod
1 : 2
Aarhus Fremad
11 Sept
Vendsyssel FF
0 : 0
Aarhus Fremad
06 Sept
Aarhus Fremad
2 : 1
Kolding IF
30 Aug
Aarhus Fremad
0 : 0
Vejle
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hvidovre IF 9 6 3 0 18:9 21
2 Vejle 9 5 4 0 22:13 19
3 Fredericia 9 3 5 1 12:6 14
4 Aarhus Fremad 9 3 4 2 10:9 13
5 Aalborg 9 3 4 2 11:11 13
6 Hobro 9 4 1 4 12:16 13
7 Vendsyssel FF 9 2 4 3 10:14 10
8 AB Copenhagen 9 2 3 4 11:10 9
9 Hillerod 9 2 3 4 13:14 9
10 Kolding IF 9 1 5 3 10:12 8
11 Koge 9 1 4 4 11:17 7
12 Esbjerg 9 1 2 6 10:19 5
Promotion - 1st Division (Promotion Group)
Relegation - 1st Division (Relegation Group)