Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Hillerod vs Fredericia

Denmark Denmark

1st Division Hillerød Stadion, Hillerød
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
VS
11:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Hillerod host Fredericia in the 1st Division. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Fredericia have shipped 1.2 goals a game lately, while Hillerod have conceded 1.4 and scored 1.6. Head-to-head, Hillerod have won 1 to Fredericia's 3, with 1 draws. They last met on Mar 7, 2025, ending 0:2. The numbers (2.00 xG vs 1.56) point toward Fredericia. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Hillerod
35%
Draws
25%
Fredericia
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Hillerod

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Fredericia come out ahead of Hillerod on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Hillerod's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular 1st Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Hillerod Clean Sheet 15%
Fredericia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hillerod Fredericia
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 14
Draws 11 10
Losses 11 6
Goals Scored 1.6 1.8
Goals Conceded 1.4 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2025 1st Division
Fredericia vs Hillerod
0:2
Sep 23, 2024 1st Division
Hillerod vs Fredericia
0:3
Oct 20, 2023 1st Division
Hillerod vs Fredericia
1:1
Aug 11, 2023 1st Division
Fredericia vs Hillerod
3:2
May 26, 2023 1st Division
Fredericia vs Hillerod
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hillerod 84 / 100
Fredericia 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hillerod Fredericia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hillerod Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Hillerod's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Fredericia let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Hillerod went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Hillerod VS Fredericia
3.38 Goals Scored 1.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Hillerod

(Home)
18 Sept
Kolding IF
1 : 1
Hillerod
12 Sept
Hillerod
1 : 0
AB Copenhagen
09 Sept
Vanlose
2 : 1
Hillerod
04 Sept
Koge
1 : 1
Hillerod
30 Aug
Hillerod
3 : 1
Hobro
Page 1 of 6

Fredericia

(Away)
20 Sept
Fredericia
2 : 2
Vejle
12 Sept
Kolding IF
0 : 0
Fredericia
05 Sept
Fredericia
1 : 0
Esbjerg
30 Aug
Hvidovre IF
2 : 1
Fredericia
26 Aug
Fredericia
1 : 2
Odense
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hvidovre IF 9 6 3 0 18:9 21
2 Vejle 9 5 4 0 22:13 19
3 Fredericia 9 3 5 1 12:6 14
4 Aarhus Fremad 9 3 4 2 10:9 13
5 Aalborg 9 3 4 2 11:11 13
6 Hobro 9 4 1 4 12:16 13
7 Vendsyssel FF 9 2 4 3 10:14 10
8 AB Copenhagen 9 2 3 4 11:10 9
9 Hillerod 9 2 3 4 13:14 9
10 Kolding IF 9 1 5 3 10:12 8
11 Koge 9 1 4 4 11:17 7
12 Esbjerg 9 1 2 6 10:19 5
Promotion - 1st Division (Promotion Group)
Relegation - 1st Division (Relegation Group)