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Hillerod vs Lyngby

Denmark Denmark

1st Division 2025/2026 Helsingor Stadion, Helsingor
Hillerod Logo

Hillerod

1 - 3
FT
Lyngby Logo

Lyngby

Our Tip

Match Events

51'
Pierre N.
53' Event
Bondergaard A.
Assist: Colyn S.
60'
Sub
Enghardt K. In: Sulemana H.
Out: Enghardt K.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The 1st Division 2025/2026 game between Hillerod and Lyngby finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lyngby.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Hillerod
35%
Draws
32%
Lyngby
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Lyngby carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Hillerod's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular 1st Division 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Hillerod Clean Sheet 68%
Lyngby Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hillerod Lyngby
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 16
Draws 11 6
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 1.6 1.97
Goals Conceded 1.4 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2026 Club Friendly
Hillerod vs Lyngby
0:1
May 3, 2026 1st Division
Lyngby vs Hillerod
1:2
Apr 21, 2026 1st Division
Hillerod vs Lyngby
1:3
Feb 20, 2026 Club Friendly
Hillerod vs Lyngby
2:2
Nov 28, 2025 1st Division
Hillerod vs Lyngby
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hillerod Compare

Top Goalscorer Heiselberg F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Lyngby Compare

Top Goalscorer Bondergaard A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Fraulo G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hillerod 77 / 100
Lyngby 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hillerod Lyngby

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hillerod Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hillerod's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Lyngby let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Hillerod has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Hillerod VS Lyngby
3.25 Goals Scored 1.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Hillerod

(Home)
18 Sept
Kolding IF
1 : 1
Hillerod
12 Sept
Hillerod
1 : 0
AB Copenhagen
09 Sept
Vanlose
2 : 1
Hillerod
04 Sept
Koge
1 : 1
Hillerod
30 Aug
Hillerod
3 : 1
Hobro
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Lyngby

(Away)
18 Sept
Lyngby
0 : 4
Silkeborg
13 Sept
Lyngby
1 : 1
Sonderjyske
09 Sept
VSK Aarhus
0 : 2
Lyngby
04 Sept
Viborg
0 : 2
Lyngby
30 Aug
Lyngby
1 : 1
Odense
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lyngby 32 18 6 8 69:36 60
2 Horsens 32 15 9 8 42:27 54
3 Esbjerg 32 15 7 10 45:43 52
4 Hillerod 32 13 11 8 42:43 50
5 Hvidovre IF 32 11 13 8 43:39 46
6 Kolding IF 32 10 8 14 37:40 38
Promotion - Superliga (Main)