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Hillerod vs Lyngby

Denmark Denmark

1st Division 2025/2026 Helsingor Stadion, Helsingor
Our Tip

Match Events

51'
Pierre N.
53' Event
Bondergaard A.
Assist: Colyn S.
60'
Sub
Enghardt K. In: Sulemana H.
Out: Enghardt K.

AI Match Summary

The 1st Division 2025/2026 game between Hillerod and Lyngby finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lyngby.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Hillerod
11%
Draws
80%
Lyngby
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Lyngby

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Lyngby carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Lyngby's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Regular 1st Division 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Hillerod Clean Sheet 10%
Lyngby Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hillerod Lyngby
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 6 19
Draws 10 3
Losses 12 7
Goals Scored 1 2.13
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2026 Club Friendly
Hillerod vs Lyngby
0:1
May 3, 2026 1st Division
Lyngby vs Hillerod
1:2
Apr 21, 2026 1st Division
Hillerod vs Lyngby
1:3
Feb 20, 2026 Club Friendly
Hillerod vs Lyngby
2:2
Nov 28, 2025 1st Division
Hillerod vs Lyngby
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hillerod Compare

Top Goalscorer Heiselberg F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Lyngby Compare

Top Goalscorer Bondergaard A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Fraulo G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hillerod 10 / 100
Lyngby 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hillerod Lyngby

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LYN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hillerod's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Lyngby let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Hillerod has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Hillerod VS Lyngby
1 Goals Scored 2.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Hillerod

(Home)
24 Jul
Aalborg
1 : 0
Hillerod
18 Jul
Hillerod
0 : 1
Lyngby
11 Jul
Vejle
1 : 1
Hillerod
04 Jul
Odense
2 : 0
Hillerod
31 May
Hillerod
2 : 1
Hvidovre IF
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Lyngby

(Away)
26 Jul
FC Copenhagen
3 : 2
Lyngby
18 Jul
Hillerod
0 : 1
Lyngby
10 Jul
Oster
0 : 3
Lyngby
04 Jul
Lyngby
6 : 3
Boldklubben 1893
31 May
Esbjerg
2 : 1
Lyngby
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Lyngby32186869:3660
2Horsens32159842:2754
3Esbjerg321571045:4352
4Hillerod321311842:4350
5Hvidovre IF321113843:3946
6Kolding IF321081437:4038
Promotion - Superliga (Main)