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Hills United vs Central Coast U23

Australia Australia

NSW League One
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Small J.
10' Event
Mallia B.
12' Event
Moutaouakkil W.

AI Match Summary

The NSW League One game between Hills United and Central Coast U23 finished 8-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Hills United.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

61%
Hills United
20%
Draws
19%
Central Coast U23
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Hills United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Hills United carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Hills United a 61% chance of winning this.
  • Regular NSW League One form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.2%
Hills United Clean Sheet 20%
Central Coast U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hills United Central Coast U23
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 8
Draws 7 7
Losses 9 15
Goals Scored 2.07 1.53
Goals Conceded 1.5 2.23
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 NSW League One
Hills United vs Central Coast U23
8:0
May 17, 2026 NSW League One
Central Coast U23 vs Hills United
5:3
Jun 8, 2024 NPL NSW
Hills United vs Central Coast U23
2:0
Mar 3, 2024 NPL NSW
Central Coast U23 vs Hills United
5:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hills United Compare

Top Goalscorer Mallia B.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Small J.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03

Central Coast U23 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hills United 85 / 100
Central Coast U23 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hills United Central Coast U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hills United Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Hills United scored in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Central Coast U23 conceded in 90% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 6.50 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Hills United stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Hills United VS Central Coast U23
1.63 Goals Scored 0.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Hills United

(Home)
29 Aug
Hills United
8 : 0
Central Coast U23
22 Aug
Hills United
3 : 1
Rydalmere Lions
15 Aug
Western City Rangers
1 : 2
Hills United
08 Aug
Hills United
4 : 0
Canterbury Bankstown FC
01 Aug
Hills United
2 : 2
Bankstown City Lions FC
Page 1 of 6

Central Coast U23

(Away)
29 Aug
Hills United
8 : 0
Central Coast U23
23 Aug
Central Coast U23
2 : 4
Western City Rangers
16 Aug
Central Coast U23
1 : 0
Hurstville Zagreb
08 Aug
Newcastle Jets U23
1 : 1
Central Coast U23
02 Aug
Central Coast U23
1 : 4
Inter Lions
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Blacktown Spartans 30 21 6 3 79:36 69
2 Northern Tigers 30 17 8 5 55:30 59
3 Bankstown City Lions FC 30 17 5 8 65:45 56
4 Canterbury Bankstown FC 30 15 6 9 71:53 51
5 Hills United 30 14 7 9 62:45 49
6 Macarthur Rams 30 14 6 10 40:36 48
7 Hakoah Sydney 30 10 11 9 55:52 41
8 Rydalmere Lions 30 11 8 11 43:46 41
9 Bulls Academy 30 11 5 14 52:50 38
10 Inter Lions 30 10 5 15 39:54 35
11 Hurstville Zagreb 30 9 6 15 42:55 33
12 Central Coast U23 30 8 7 15 46:67 31
13 Dulwich Hill 30 7 9 14 40:58 30
14 Newcastle Jets U23 30 6 11 13 55:73 29
15 Prospect United 30 4 14 12 33:52 26
16 Western City Rangers 30 6 6 18 37:62 24
Promotion - NPL NSW 2027 (Main)
Promotion - NPL NSW (Relegation)
Relegation - NSW League One (Relegation)