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Hills United vs Hakoah Sydney

Australia Australia

NSW League One
Sat, Jul 18, 2026
VS
07:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Hills United host Hakoah Sydney in the NSW League One. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Hills United have averaged 2.25 scored and 1.63 conceded recently, against Hakoah Sydney's 1.63 scored and 1.5 conceded. Past meetings favor Hills United slightly — 3-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 2, 2026, ending 2:0. xG projections (1.88 - 1.63) back Hills United to edge this. API goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Hills United
40%
Draws
29%
Hakoah Sydney
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Hills United come out ahead of Hakoah Sydney on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.2%
Hills United Clean Sheet 14%
Hakoah Sydney Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hills United Hakoah Sydney
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 8
Draws 7 11
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 2.25 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 2, 2026 NSW League One
Hakoah Sydney vs Hills United
2:0
Jul 26, 2025 NSW League One
Hills United vs Hakoah Sydney
5:0
Apr 13, 2025 NSW League One
Hakoah Sydney vs Hills United
3:3
Aug 19, 2023 NSW League One
Hakoah Sydney vs Hills United
0:2
May 6, 2023 NSW League One
Hills United vs Hakoah Sydney
3:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hills United 31 / 100
Hakoah Sydney 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hills United Hakoah Sydney

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hakoah Sydney has conceded goals in 86% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Hills United scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Hills United went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Hills United VS Hakoah Sydney
2.25 Goals Scored 1.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Blacktown Spartans23155358:3050
2Northern Tigers23127441:2143
3Canterbury Bankstown FC23125656:3741
4Bankstown City Lions FC23124740:3740
5Macarthur Rams23116630:2439
6Rydalmere Lions2397733:3434
7Bulls Academy231031044:3433
8Hills United2396840:3833
9Hakoah Sydney2379740:3830
10Hurstville Zagreb23761034:3827
11Central Coast U2323761039:4527
12Inter Lions23741229:4225
13Newcastle Jets U2323581043:5223
14Dulwich Hill23581026:4423
15Prospect United23212922:4118
16Western City Rangers23441526:4616