Sport Picks
Match Events
6'
6'
Small J.
54'
54'
Attard R.
65'
65'
Kepot D.
AI Match Summary
Northern Tigers in this NSW League One matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Northern Tigers.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
43%
30%
27%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Hills United
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
43%
/ Low Confidence
- Hills United haven't matched Northern Tigers's recent run of results.
- 43% — that's where the model lands on Hills United taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 87%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 87%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Hills United Clean Sheet 13%
Northern Tigers Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Hills United | Northern Tigers |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 14 | 15 |
| Draws | 7 | 9 |
| Losses | 9 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 2.07 | 1.67 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.5 | 1.03 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.69 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 4, 2026 NSW League One
Hills United vs Northern Tigers
1:2
Mar 21, 2026 NSW League One
Northern Tigers vs Hills United
1:1
Jun 7, 2025 NSW League One
Hills United vs Northern Tigers
2:0
Feb 22, 2025 NSW League One
Northern Tigers vs Hills United
3:0
Jul 1, 2023 NSW League One
Hills United vs Northern Tigers
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Hills United Compare
Top Goalscorer Small J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84
Northern Tigers Compare
Top Goalscorer Attard R.
1 Goals Assists Leader Kepot D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Hills United 84 / 100
Northern Tigers 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Hills United Northern Tigers
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Hills United Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Hills United scored in 87% of their last 30 games.
Solid form: Hills United remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.
Northern Tigers's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 30 matches.
These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.
Scoring Trends
Hills United VS Northern Tigers
1.88 Goals Scored 1.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Hills United
(Home) 29 Aug
Hills United
8 : 0 Central Coast U23
22 Aug
Hills United
3 : 1 Rydalmere Lions
15 Aug
Western City Rangers
1 : 2 Hills United
08 Aug
Hills United
4 : 0 Canterbury Bankstown FC
01 Aug
Hills United
2 : 2 Bankstown City Lions FC
Page 1 of 6
29 Aug
Hills United
8 : 0 Central Coast U23
22 Aug
Hills United
3 : 1 Rydalmere Lions
08 Aug
Hills United
4 : 0 Canterbury Bankstown FC
01 Aug
Hills United
2 : 2 Bankstown City Lions FC
18 Jul
Hills United
2 : 1 Hakoah Sydney
Page 1 of 3
Northern Tigers
(Away) 12 Sept
St George Saints
3 : 1 Northern Tigers
05 Sept
Northern Tigers
0 : 0 St George Saints
29 Aug
Western City Rangers
0 : 3 Northern Tigers
22 Aug
Northern Tigers
3 : 2 Macarthur Rams
15 Aug
Bulls Academy
1 : 1 Northern Tigers
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
St George Saints
3 : 1 Northern Tigers
29 Aug
Western City Rangers
0 : 3 Northern Tigers
15 Aug
Bulls Academy
1 : 1 Northern Tigers
01 Aug
Hurstville Zagreb
1 : 3 Northern Tigers
19 Jul
Central Coast U23
1 : 2 Northern Tigers
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Blacktown Spartans | 30 | 21 | 6 | 3 | 79:36 | 69 |
| 2 | Northern Tigers | 30 | 17 | 8 | 5 | 55:30 | 59 |
| 3 | Bankstown City Lions FC | 30 | 17 | 5 | 8 | 65:45 | 56 |
| 4 | Canterbury Bankstown FC | 30 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 71:53 | 51 |
| 5 | Hills United | 30 | 14 | 7 | 9 | 62:45 | 49 |
| 6 | Macarthur Rams | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | 40:36 | 48 |
| 7 | Hakoah Sydney | 30 | 10 | 11 | 9 | 55:52 | 41 |
| 8 | Rydalmere Lions | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 43:46 | 41 |
| 9 | Bulls Academy | 30 | 11 | 5 | 14 | 52:50 | 38 |
| 10 | Inter Lions | 30 | 10 | 5 | 15 | 39:54 | 35 |
| 11 | Hurstville Zagreb | 30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | 42:55 | 33 |
| 12 | Central Coast U23 | 30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 46:67 | 31 |
| 13 | Dulwich Hill | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 40:58 | 30 |
| 14 | Newcastle Jets U23 | 30 | 6 | 11 | 13 | 55:73 | 29 |
| 15 | Prospect United | 30 | 4 | 14 | 12 | 33:52 | 26 |
| 16 | Western City Rangers | 30 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 37:62 | 24 |
Promotion - NPL NSW 2027 (Main)
Promotion - NPL NSW (Relegation)
Relegation - NSW League One (Relegation)
