Sport Picks
Match Events
6'
6'
Small J.
54'
54'
Attard R.
65'
65'
Kepot D.
AI Match Summary
Northern Tigers in this NSW League One matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Northern Tigers.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
31%
39%
30%
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
65%
/ Medium Confidence
- Hills United haven't matched Northern Tigers's recent run of results.
- 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Hills United Clean Sheet 13%
Northern Tigers Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Hills United | Northern Tigers |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 11 | 14 |
| Draws | 7 | 8 |
| Losses | 11 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 2.13 | 1.63 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.75 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.13 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.75 | 1.00 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 4, 2026 NSW League One
Hills United vs Northern Tigers
1:2
Mar 21, 2026 NSW League One
Northern Tigers vs Hills United
1:1
Jun 7, 2025 NSW League One
Hills United vs Northern Tigers
2:0
Feb 22, 2025 NSW League One
Northern Tigers vs Hills United
3:0
Jul 1, 2023 NSW League One
Hills United vs Northern Tigers
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Hills United Compare
Top Goalscorer Small J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06
Northern Tigers Compare
Top Goalscorer Attard R.
1 Goals Assists Leader Kepot D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Hills United 31 / 100
Northern Tigers 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Hills United Northern Tigers
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick TIG Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Hills United scored in 79% of their last 29 games.
Defensive concern: Northern Tigers conceded in 62% of 29 recent games.
These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.
Recent resilience: Hills United stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Hills United VS Northern Tigers
2.13 Goals Scored 1.63
1.75 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Hills United
(Home) 18 Jul
Hills United
2 : 1 Hakoah Sydney
11 Jul
Inter Lions
2 : 2 Hills United
04 Jul
Hills United
1 : 2 Northern Tigers
27 Jun
Hurstville Zagreb
2 : 1 Hills United
20 Jun
Hills United
0 : 0 Prospect United
Page 1 of 6
18 Jul
Hills United
2 : 1 Hakoah Sydney
04 Jul
Hills United
1 : 2 Northern Tigers
20 Jun
Hills United
0 : 0 Prospect United
05 Jun
Hills United
2 : 2 Bulls Academy
23 May
Hills United
1 : 1 Blacktown Spartans
Page 1 of 3
Northern Tigers
(Away) 19 Jul
Central Coast U23
1 : 2 Northern Tigers
11 Jul
Northern Tigers
2 : 2 Newcastle Jets U23
04 Jul
Hills United
1 : 2 Northern Tigers
27 Jun
Northern Tigers
3 : 1 Dulwich Hill
20 Jun
Hakoah Sydney
1 : 0 Northern Tigers
Page 1 of 6
19 Jul
Central Coast U23
1 : 2 Northern Tigers
04 Jul
Hills United
1 : 2 Northern Tigers
20 Jun
Hakoah Sydney
1 : 0 Northern Tigers
06 Jun
Bankstown City Lions FC
1 : 1 Northern Tigers
31 May
Prospect United
0 : 3 Northern Tigers
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Blacktown Spartans | 24 | 16 | 5 | 3 | 60:31 | 53 |
| 2 | Northern Tigers | 24 | 13 | 7 | 4 | 43:22 | 46 |
| 3 | Bankstown City Lions FC | 24 | 13 | 4 | 7 | 45:37 | 43 |
| 4 | Macarthur Rams | 24 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 32:25 | 42 |
| 5 | Canterbury Bankstown FC | 24 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 57:39 | 41 |
| 6 | Rydalmere Lions | 24 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 37:34 | 37 |
| 7 | Hills United | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 42:39 | 36 |
| 8 | Bulls Academy | 24 | 10 | 3 | 11 | 44:39 | 33 |
| 9 | Hakoah Sydney | 24 | 7 | 9 | 8 | 41:40 | 30 |
| 10 | Hurstville Zagreb | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 37:39 | 30 |
| 11 | Central Coast U23 | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 40:47 | 27 |
| 12 | Inter Lions | 24 | 7 | 4 | 13 | 29:46 | 25 |
| 13 | Newcastle Jets U23 | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 45:55 | 23 |
| 14 | Dulwich Hill | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 27:47 | 23 |
| 15 | Western City Rangers | 24 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 29:48 | 19 |
| 16 | Prospect United | 24 | 2 | 12 | 10 | 23:43 | 18 |
Promotion - NPL NSW 2027 (Main)
Promotion - NPL NSW (Relegation)
Relegation - NSW League One (Relegation)