Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Hiltrup vs Ahlen

Germany Germany

Oberliga Westfalen 2025/2026
Hiltrup Logo

Hiltrup

1 - 0
FT
Ahlen Logo

Ahlen

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Oberliga Westfalen 2025/2026 game between Hiltrup and Ahlen finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Hiltrup.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Hiltrup
15%
Draws
51%
Ahlen
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ahlen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Ahlen carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Hiltrup a 42% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Hiltrup have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Hiltrup Clean Sheet 10%
Ahlen Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hiltrup Ahlen
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 7 8
Draws 6 6
Losses 16 16
Goals Scored 0.97 1.27
Goals Conceded 1.79 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.85
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Oberliga Westfalen
Hiltrup vs Ahlen
1:0
Mar 4, 2026 Oberliga Westfalen
Ahlen vs Hiltrup
0:0
Jul 10, 2022 Club Friendly
Ahlen vs Hiltrup
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hiltrup 40 / 100
Ahlen 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hiltrup Ahlen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ahlen has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 1.67 goals as a typical output.

Ahlen's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Hiltrup's goal record stands at 55% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Hiltrup VS Ahlen
0.75 Goals Scored 1.83
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.83
63% Over 1.5 83%
50% Over 2.5 67%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Hiltrup

(Home)
20 Sept
TuS Hordel
2 : 1
Hiltrup
13 Sept
Hiltrup
1 : 2
Lippstadt
06 Sept
Schermbeck 2020
1 : 1
Hiltrup
30 Aug
Hiltrup
2 : 0
Eintracht Rheine
23 Aug
Sprockhovel
7 : 0
Hiltrup
Page 1 of 6

Ahlen

(Away)
31 May
Ahlen
3 : 4
Eintracht Rheine
25 May
Arminia Bielefeld II
2 : 0
Ahlen
17 May
Verl II
1 : 4
Ahlen
10 May
Hiltrup
1 : 0
Ahlen
06 May
Westfalia Rhynern
1 : 2
Ahlen
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Westfalia Rhynern 36 25 7 4 96:38 82
2 SG Wattenscheid 36 23 11 2 78:28 80
3 ASC 09 Dortmund 36 22 9 5 81:41 75
4 Lippstadt 36 20 10 6 63:29 70
5 Preussen Munster 2 36 21 5 10 80:49 68
6 Gievenbeck 36 14 8 14 61:56 50
7 Arminia Bielefeld II 36 13 10 13 57:57 49
8 Clarholz 36 12 10 14 54:63 46
9 Eintracht Rheine 36 11 11 14 53:63 44
10 Verl II 36 11 9 16 51:64 42
11 Schermbeck 2020 36 10 10 16 53:60 40
12 Sprockhovel 36 11 7 18 59:69 40
13 Erkenschwick 36 10 10 16 48:67 40
14 Vreden 36 11 6 19 52:68 39
15 TUS Ennepetal 36 11 5 20 44:75 38
16 Hiltrup 36 9 10 17 42:57 37
17 Ahlen 36 9 7 20 42:77 34
18 Finnentrop/Bamenohl 36 8 9 19 51:87 33
19 Turkspor Dortmund 36 12 4 20 60:77 31
Promotion - Regionalliga West (Main)