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Hinckley vs Hemel Hempstead

England England

Southern Premier League 2013/2014
Sat, Mar 29, 2014
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Hinckley host Hemel Hempstead in the Southern Premier League 2013/2014. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Hinckley have averaged 1.67 scored and 2.67 conceded recently, against Hemel Hempstead's 1.1 scored and 1.07 conceded. Past meetings favor Hinckley slightly — 0-0-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 29, 2014, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.23 vs 1.05, favoring Hemel Hempstead. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Hinckley
35%
Draws
24%
Hemel Hempstead
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Hinckley

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Hinckley haven't matched Hemel Hempstead's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Hinckley Clean Sheet 20%
Hemel Hempstead Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hinckley Hemel Hempstead
Matches Played 3 29
Wins 1 11
Draws 0 8
Losses 2 10
Goals Scored 1.67 1.1
Goals Conceded 2.67 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 29, 2014 Southern Premier League
Hinckley vs Hemel Hempstead
0:0
Oct 26, 2013 Southern Premier League
Hemel Hempstead vs Hinckley
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hinckley 31 / 100
Hemel Hempstead 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hinckley Hemel Hempstead

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hinckley Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hinckley scored in 100% of their last 3 games.

Hemel Hempstead let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 0.00 goals when they meet.

Hinckley went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Hemel Hempstead
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Hinckley

(Home)
02 Sept
Mickleover
2 : 1
Hinckley
26 Sept
Chasetown
5 : 2
Hinckley
12 Sept
Hinckley
2 : 1
Redditch

Hemel Hempstead

(Away)
12 Sept
Hemel Hempstead
1 : 1
Tonbridge
08 Sept
Ebbsfleet
0 : 0
Hemel Hempstead
05 Sept
Hemel Hempstead
1 : 1
Farnham
31 Aug
Folkestone
2 : 0
Hemel Hempstead
29 Aug
Hemel Hempstead
1 : 3
Weston-super-Mare
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hemel Hempstead 44 32 6 6 128:38 102
2 Chesham 44 29 5 10 102:47 92
3 Cambridge City 44 27 7 10 95:49 88
4 St. Albans 44 25 10 9 89:49 85
5 Stourbridge 44 26 6 12 114:54 84
6 Hungerford 44 26 6 12 83:45 84
7 Poole Town 44 25 10 9 82:48 82
8 Bideford 44 18 13 13 75:64 67
9 Biggleswade Town 44 16 16 12 85:61 64
10 Redditch 44 20 3 21 68:85 63
11 Corby 44 18 6 20 65:68 60
12 Weymouth 44 18 6 20 69:80 60
13 Hitchin 44 16 11 17 63:52 59
14 Frome Town 44 16 9 19 63:74 57
15 Arlesey 44 15 10 19 68:79 55
16 Neots 44 15 9 20 74:76 54
17 Truro 44 15 9 20 68:84 54
18 Chippenham Town 44 14 6 24 59:87 48
19 Banbury 44 14 5 25 64:116 47
20 Burnham FC 44 12 8 24 60:91 44
21 AFC Totton 44 10 7 27 58:119 37
22 Bedford 44 6 6 32 46:114 24
23 Bashley 44 4 4 36 33:131 16
Promotion - Vanarama Conference South 2014/2015 (Main)
Promotion - Southern Premier League 2013/2014 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Southern Premier League 2013/2014 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Southern Premier League 2013/2014 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Southern Premier League 2013/2014 (Play Offs)