Sport Picks
Histon vs Merthyr Town - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
England
Southern Premier League 2015/2016 
AI Match Summary
Merthyr Town in this Southern Premier League 2015/2016 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Merthyr Town.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
0%
20%
80%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Merthyr Town
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
80%
/ Very High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Merthyr Town lately — more wins on the board than Histon.
- Model gives Merthyr Town a 80% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 4 times recently and Merthyr Town have taken 3 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Histon Clean Sheet 14%
Merthyr Town Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Histon | Merthyr Town |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 4 | 9 |
| Draws | 5 | 7 |
| Losses | 21 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.03 | 1.47 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.47 | 1.57 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.29 | 1.61 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 26, 2016 Southern Premier League
Histon vs Merthyr Town
0:2
Jan 9, 2016 Southern Premier League
Merthyr Town vs Histon
3:0
Mar 19, 2005 Southern Premier League
Merthyr Town vs Histon
0:3
Sep 11, 2004 Southern Premier League
Histon vs Merthyr Town
1:2
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Histon 23 / 100
Merthyr Town 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Histon Merthyr Town
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Merthyr Town Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Merthyr Town let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.
Histon scored in 60% of their last 30 games.
H2H data points to 2.75 goals as a typical output.
Away concern: Merthyr Town has suffered 2 losses in 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
- VS Merthyr Town
0 Goals Scored 2.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Histon
(Home) 30 Aug
Histon
2 : 3 Mulbarton Wanderers
13 Jul
Histon
1 : 2 Hitchin
09 Oct
Corby
5 : 3 Histon
17 Oct
Histon
1 : 2 Leek Town
16 Oct
Corby
4 : 1 Histon
Page 1 of 6
30 Aug
Histon
2 : 3 Mulbarton Wanderers
13 Jul
Histon
1 : 2 Hitchin
17 Oct
Histon
1 : 2 Leek Town
12 Oct
Histon
0 : 0 Corby
07 Sept
Histon
0 : 3 Maldon & Tiptree
Page 1 of 3
Merthyr Town
(Away) 26 Sept
Merthyr Town
1 : 2 Marine
22 Sept
Truro
2 : 0 Merthyr Town
19 Sept
Merthyr Town
1 : 1 Truro
12 Sept
Scarborough Athletic
0 : 0 Merthyr Town
08 Sept
Chester
0 : 1 Merthyr Town
Page 1 of 6
22 Sept
Truro
2 : 0 Merthyr Town
12 Sept
Scarborough Athletic
0 : 0 Merthyr Town
08 Sept
Chester
0 : 1 Merthyr Town
31 Aug
Buxton
2 : 1 Merthyr Town
22 Aug
South Shields
1 : 1 Merthyr Town
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Poole Town | 46 | 27 | 12 | 7 | 86:35 | 93 |
| 2 | Redditch | 46 | 24 | 15 | 7 | 82:37 | 84 |
| 3 | Hitchin | 46 | 24 | 12 | 10 | 78:50 | 84 |
| 4 | Hungerford | 46 | 24 | 11 | 11 | 73:43 | 83 |
| 5 | Leamington | 46 | 23 | 12 | 11 | 59:38 | 81 |
| 6 | Kettering | 46 | 24 | 8 | 14 | 83:53 | 80 |
| 7 | Weymouth | 46 | 21 | 14 | 11 | 63:39 | 77 |
| 8 | Chippenham Town | 46 | 21 | 13 | 12 | 76:53 | 76 |
| 9 | King’s Lynn | 46 | 21 | 7 | 18 | 58:54 | 70 |
| 10 | Merthyr Town | 46 | 19 | 9 | 18 | 69:58 | 66 |
| 11 | Chesham | 46 | 18 | 10 | 18 | 72:70 | 64 |
| 12 | Dunstable Town | 46 | 17 | 11 | 18 | 68:68 | 62 |
| 13 | Dorchester | 46 | 18 | 8 | 20 | 67:69 | 62 |
| 14 | Biggleswade Town | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 76:82 | 60 |
| 15 | Cirencester | 46 | 18 | 6 | 22 | 67:76 | 60 |
| 16 | Frome Town | 46 | 14 | 16 | 16 | 51:73 | 58 |
| 17 | Slough Town | 46 | 16 | 9 | 21 | 67:77 | 57 |
| 18 | Cambridge City | 46 | 15 | 7 | 24 | 63:80 | 52 |
| 19 | Stratford | 46 | 13 | 11 | 22 | 59:68 | 50 |
| 20 | Neots | 46 | 10 | 18 | 18 | 69:78 | 48 |
| 21 | Bedworth United | 46 | 12 | 8 | 26 | 58:107 | 44 |
| 22 | Histon | 46 | 11 | 7 | 28 | 63:98 | 40 |
| 23 | Bideford | 46 | 8 | 13 | 25 | 38:88 | 37 |
| 24 | Paulton Rovers | 46 | 8 | 12 | 26 | 38:89 | 36 |
Promotion - National League South 2016/2017 (Main)
Promotion - Southern Premier League 2015/2016 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Southern Premier League 2015/2016 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Southern Premier League 2015/2016 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Southern Premier League 2015/2016 (Play Offs)
