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HJK vs Jaro

Finland Finland

Veikkausliiga Bolt Arena, Helsinki
Sun, Aug 16, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

HJK host Jaro in the Veikkausliiga. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. HJK have averaged 2.3 scored and 1.12 conceded recently, against Jaro's 1.28 scored and 2.1 conceded. Head-to-head, HJK have won 3 to Jaro's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Jun 13, 2026, ending 2:5. The numbers (1.75 xG vs 1.00) point toward HJK. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
HJK
20%
Draws
33%
Jaro
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: HJK

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • HJK have won more games recently than Jaro.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on HJK taking it.
  • Regular Veikkausliiga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
HJK Clean Sheet 20%
Jaro Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric HJK Jaro
Matches Played 33 29
Wins 19 7
Draws 5 7
Losses 9 15
Goals Scored 2.3 1.28
Goals Conceded 1.12 2.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 13, 2026 Veikkausliiga
Jaro vs HJK
2:5
Jul 2, 2025 Veikkausliiga
HJK vs Jaro
2:3
May 11, 2025 Veikkausliiga
Jaro vs HJK
0:3
Sep 13, 2015 Veikkausliiga
Jaro vs HJK
1:1
Jun 22, 2015 Veikkausliiga
HJK vs Jaro
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

HJK 49 / 100
Jaro 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
HJK Jaro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HJK Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: HJK scored in 85% of their last 33 outings.

Defensive concern: Jaro conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 4.20 goals when they meet.

HJK went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

HJK VS Jaro
2.13 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

HJK

(Home)
09 Aug
AC Oulu
0 : 1
HJK
06 Aug
HJK
1 : 1
Motherwell
03 Aug
SJK
3 : 0
HJK
30 Jul
Coleraine
0 : 3
HJK
26 Jul
HJK
1 : 0
TPS
Page 1 of 7

Jaro

(Away)
08 Aug
Jaro
1 : 3
VPS
01 Aug
Lahti
2 : 0
Jaro
24 Jul
Jaro
2 : 1
SJK
19 Jul
Jaro
0 : 0
Inter Turku
04 Jul
Jaro
2 : 1
Ilves
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 KuPS 19 11 7 1 34:17 40
2 Inter Turku 19 9 8 2 25:14 35
3 HJK 19 9 4 6 29:23 31
4 VPS 19 8 6 5 27:18 30
5 AC Oulu 19 9 3 7 22:22 30
6 Gnistan 19 8 5 6 29:24 29
7 Lahti 19 7 5 7 22:16 26
8 TPS 19 7 5 7 24:21 26
9 Ilves 19 7 4 8 31:31 25
10 SJK 19 4 6 9 24:29 18
11 Jaro 19 3 6 10 18:38 15
12 Mariehamn 19 0 5 14 9:41 5
Promotion - Veikkausliiga (Championship Group)
Relegation - Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group)