Sport Picks

Stadium Background

HJK vs KuPS

Finland Finland

Veikkausliiga Bolt Arena, Helsinki
HJK Logo

HJK

0 - 4
FT
KuPS Logo

KuPS

Our Tip

Match Events

12'
Tikkanen V.
16'
Sub
Pukki T. In: Levealahti E.
Out: Pukki T.
41' Event
Pennanen P.
Assist: Armah B.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

KuPS in this Veikkausliiga matchup, with the score ending 0-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored KuPS.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
HJK
35%
Draws
32%
KuPS
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to HJK lately — more wins on the board than KuPS.
  • HJK are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Regular Veikkausliiga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
HJK Clean Sheet 20%
KuPS Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric HJK KuPS
Matches Played 34 34
Wins 18 16
Draws 6 10
Losses 10 8
Goals Scored 2.12 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.09 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Veikkausliiga
KuPS vs HJK
0:0
Jun 27, 2026 Veikkausliiga
HJK vs KuPS
0:4
Apr 26, 2026 Veikkausliiga
KuPS vs HJK
1:1
Nov 9, 2025 Veikkausliiga
HJK vs KuPS
0:2
Oct 19, 2025 Veikkausliiga
KuPS vs HJK
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

HJK Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

KuPS Compare

Top Goalscorer Pennanen P.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Moreno Ciorciari J. J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

HJK 42 / 100
KuPS 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
HJK KuPS

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

HJK's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 34 recent games.

KuPS has conceded goals in 65% of their last 34 outings.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: HJK remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

HJK VS KuPS
1.38 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

HJK

(Home)
18 Sept
Gnistan
1 : 1
HJK
13 Sept
KuPS
0 : 0
HJK
09 Sept
HJK
2 : 1
Inter Turku
05 Sept
Inter Turku
1 : 0
HJK
31 Aug
Ilves
1 : 2
HJK
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KuPS

(Away)
19 Sept
VPS
0 : 2
KuPS
13 Sept
KuPS
0 : 0
HJK
08 Sept
Gnistan
1 : 1
KuPS
31 Aug
Inter Turku
1 : 0
KuPS
27 Aug
KuPS
1 : 0
Shamrock Rovers
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 KuPS 22 12 7 3 38:23 43
2 Inter Turku 22 11 9 2 29:16 42
3 HJK 22 11 4 7 36:27 37
4 Gnistan 22 10 6 6 36:29 36
5 AC Oulu 22 10 4 8 25:25 34
6 VPS 22 9 6 7 29:22 33
7 Lahti 22 9 5 8 26:19 32
8 TPS 22 8 7 7 28:23 31
9 Ilves 22 7 4 11 34:37 25
10 SJK 22 4 7 11 25:33 19
11 Jaro 22 3 6 13 18:44 15
12 Mariehamn 22 3 5 14 17:43 14
Promotion - Veikkausliiga (Championship Group)
Relegation - Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group)