Sport Picks

Stadium Background

HJK vs MyPa

Finland Finland

Suomen Cup Bolt Arena, Helsinki
11 - 1
FT
Our Tip

Match Events

9'
Sub
Ameen M. In: Konttas V.
Out: Ameen M.
9' Event
Mero T.
16' Event
Karppanen V.
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 11-1. This leg finished 11-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
HJK
15%
Draws
39%
MyPa
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: HJK

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to HJK lately — more wins on the board than MyPa.
  • Model gives HJK a 42% chance of winning this.
  • HJK have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor HJK, who have won 4 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • HJK have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
HJK Clean Sheet 18%
MyPa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric HJK MyPa
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 16 9
Draws 5 3
Losses 8 17
Goals Scored 2.21 1.55
Goals Conceded 1.14 2.72
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 1.35
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 26, 2026 Suomen Cup
HJK vs MyPa
11:1
Oct 16, 2014 Veikkausliiga
HJK vs MyPa
2:0
Aug 2, 2014 Veikkausliiga
MyPa vs HJK
0:1
May 16, 2014 Veikkausliiga
HJK vs MyPa
4:0
Aug 25, 2013 Veikkausliiga
HJK vs MyPa
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

HJK Compare

Top Goalscorer Mero T.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Kirilov M.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.74

MyPa Compare

Top Goalscorer Haimi O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.23
Avg xA / game 0.75

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

HJK 41 / 100
MyPa 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
HJK MyPa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

MyPa let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.40 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: HJK scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

HJK has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

HJK VS MyPa
1.38 Goals Scored 1.57
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.57
75% Over 1.5 71%
50% Over 2.5 71%
13% Over 3.5 43%

Recent Form & Match History

HJK

(Home)
13 Sept
KuPS
0 : 0
HJK
09 Sept
HJK
2 : 1
Inter Turku
05 Sept
Inter Turku
1 : 0
HJK
31 Aug
Ilves
1 : 2
HJK
23 Aug
HJK
2 : 3
Gnistan
Page 1 of 6

MyPa

(Away)
12 Sept
MyPa
2 : 3
Union Plaani
04 Sept
MyPa
5 : 1
Lahden Reipas
22 Aug
MyPa
2 : 1
PuiU Helsinki
13 Aug
Pallo-Pojat Juniorit (PPJ)
2 : 1
MyPa
07 Aug
PEPO
4 : 1
MyPa
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
FC Germania Helsinki 2
Jokerit FC 4
Mando United 0
HIFK 16
Pallo-Pojat Juniorit / Lauttasaari 3
Toolon Taisto 4
Tuusulan Palloseura 0
JaPS 2
Stapa de Royale 2
Loiske Lempaala 1
HPS II 1
PK-35 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
KuPS -
Karhu-Futis 1
Leki 6
SalPa 2 0
VPS 11
TPS 2 1
MaPS 4
VaKP 0
Abo IFK 6
Toukolan Teras 0
Valtti 1
FC SUMU / SOB 2
EPS 3
FC Kangasala 1
EIF Academy 2
Lasten 0
Haka 3
VPV 0
SJK Akatemia 3
Santa Claus 1
OLS Oulu 9
Rollon Pojat 3
KaPa 1924 2
VIFK 4
KPV Kokkola 5
Kajaanin Haka 0
VPS 2 4
HAPK 1
SJK 6
NiemU 0
PEPO 1
Vaajakoski 0
JJK Jyvaskyla 1
Inter Turku -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
LappBK 1
Lapuan Virkia Lapua 8
Heinapaan Hanhet 24 0
JS Hercules 10
MPS 0
EBK 7
POHU 3
Gnistan 0
VG-62 Naantali 1
Narpes Kraft 3
TPV 0
Tampere Utd 2
Kuopion Elo 0
Huima / Urho 10
Lahden Reipas 1
KuPS Akatemia 2
POHU/Hurjin 0
Atlantis 8
LePa 1
Honka 4
FC Futura 4
GrIFK 1
JaPS Akatemia 0
VJS 7
HauPa 2
GBK Kokkola 3
AC Oulu 1
Jaro 2
Ylivieska 2
JBK 1
FC Kiisto Vaasa 1
RoPS Rovaniemi 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
HJK -
VJS 2 4
LoPa 1
Keski-Uusimaa 2
KaPa 3
PoPo 2
PK-37 1
KoPa 0
MyPa 5
AC Estudiantes 0
PIF Pargas 4
TPV 2 0
Pallo-Iirot 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ilves -
Fish United 0
SalPa 4
Ekenas IF 1
TPS 2
Gilla FC 2
Pallo-Pojat Juniorit (PPJ) 5
Ylojarvi United 0
HJS 7
HPS 3
NJS 0
Kiffen 3 0
Mariehamn 5
Gnistan/M35 3
TiPS U21 2
Kiffen 1
PuiU Helsinki 2
KyPa 0
Union Plaani 4
KTP 1
Lahti 3
JIPPO II 0
JPS Jyvaskyla 2
Jippo 1
Mikkelin 2
1/32-finals
Jokerit FC 0
HIFK 5
Toolon Taisto 1
JaPS 9
Stapa de Royale 1
PK-35 8
TBD -
KuPS -
Leki 1
VPS 9
MaPS 0
Abo IFK 1
Valtti 0
EPS 2
EIF Academy 0
Haka 7
SJK Akatemia 2
OLS Oulu 1
Rollon Pojat 0
KPV Kokkola 4
VPS 2 1
SJK 6
PEPO 2
JJK Jyvaskyla 1
Inter Turku -
TBD -
Lapuan Virkia Lapua 1
JS Hercules 4
EBK 5
POHU 4
Narpes Kraft 0
Tampere Utd 6
Huima / Urho 0
KuPS Akatemia 4
Atlantis 3
Honka 4
FC Futura 2
VJS 3
GBK Kokkola 0
Jaro 2
Ylivieska 0
RoPS Rovaniemi 1
TBD -
HJK -
VJS 2 1
KaPa 3
PoPo 1
MyPa 4
PIF Pargas 0
Pallo-Iirot 2
TBD -
Ilves -
SalPa 1
TPS 2
Pallo-Pojat Juniorit (PPJ) 0
HJS 1
HPS 1
Mariehamn 2
Gnistan/M35 1
PuiU Helsinki 2
Union Plaani 2
Lahti 4
JPS Jyvaskyla 3
Mikkelin 5
1/16-finals
HIFK 1
JaPS 3
PK-35 0
KuPS 2
VPS 7
Abo IFK 0
EPS 0
Haka 4
SJK Akatemia 2
KPV Kokkola 0
SJK 3
PEPO 0
Inter Turku 8
JS Hercules 0
EBK 3
Tampere Utd 2
KuPS Akatemia 0
Honka 1
VJS 5
Jaro 3
RoPS Rovaniemi 0
HJK 4
KaPa 1
MyPa 2
Pallo-Iirot 0
Ilves 4
TPS 3
HJS 0
Mariehamn 3
PuiU Helsinki 0
Lahti 3
Mikkelin 1
1/8-finals
JaPS 0
KuPS 1
VPS 4
Haka 0
SJK Akatemia 0
SJK 5
Inter Turku 2
EBK 1
Honka 5
VJS 1
HJK 11
MyPa 1
Ilves 1
TPS 0
Mariehamn 0
Lahti 1
Quarter-finals
KuPS 0
VPS 1
SJK 1
Inter Turku 2
Honka 1
HJK 7
Ilves 5
Lahti 2
Semi-finals
VPS 2
Inter Turku 3
HJK 2
Ilves 1
Final
Inter Turku 1
HJK 0