Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
This match ends 1-1. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
21%
15%
64%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Southern District
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
64%
/ High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Southern District come out ahead of HK U23 on wins alone.
- 64% — that's where the model lands on Southern District taking it.
- Southern District arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Southern District, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Southern District have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
HK U23 Clean Sheet 20%
Southern District Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | HK U23 | Southern District |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 37 |
| Wins | 3 | 15 |
| Draws | 5 | 5 |
| Losses | 22 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 0.8 | 1.62 |
| Goals Conceded | 3.03 | 1.59 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.42 | 0.99 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 2, 2024 Premier League
HK U23 vs Southern District
0:4
Jan 31, 2024 Sapling Cup
Southern District vs HK U23
3:0
Jan 17, 2024 Sapling Cup
HK U23 vs Southern District
1:1
Sep 30, 2023 Senior Shield
Southern District vs HK U23
5:1
Aug 26, 2023 Premier League
Southern District vs HK U23
4:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
HK U23 10 / 100
Southern District 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
HK U23 Southern District
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Southern District Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Southern District has conceded goals in 84% of their last 37 outings.
H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.
Attacking prowess: HK U23 scored in 53% of their last 30 outings.
Recent resilience: HK U23 stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
- VS Southern District
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
HK U23
(Home) 26 May
HK U23
2 : 4 Tai Po
19 May
North District
0 : 1 HK U23
05 May
Hong Kong Rangers
5 : 0 HK U23
28 Apr
HK U23
0 : 6 Kitchee
21 Apr
HK U23
0 : 6 Eastern AA
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26 May
HK U23
2 : 4 Tai Po
28 Apr
HK U23
0 : 6 Kitchee
21 Apr
HK U23
0 : 6 Eastern AA
07 Apr
HK U23
2 : 1 Resources Capital
30 Mar
HK U23
1 : 3 Sham Shui Po
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Southern District
(Away) 01 Oct
North District
2 : 1 Southern District
20 Sept
Southern District
2 : 1 Eastern District
12 Sept
Southern District
1 : 3 Kitchee
29 Aug
Southern District
2 : 1 Kowloon City
22 Aug
Southern District
3 : 2 Hong Kong FC
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01 Oct
North District
2 : 1 Southern District
03 May
Hong Kong FC
1 : 4 Southern District
19 Apr
Hong Kong Rangers
3 : 1 Southern District
12 Apr
Kowloon City
2 : 1 Southern District
15 Mar
Tai Po
1 : 0 Southern District
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Southern District | 10 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 25:10 | 22 |
| 2 | Tai Po | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 19:13 | 19 |
| 3 | Eastern AA | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 25:14 | 17 |
| 4 | Hong Kong FC | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 19:23 | 12 |
| 5 | Sham Shui Po | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 15:33 | 7 |
| 6 | HK U23 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 11:21 | 5 |
Promotion - Sapling Cup 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kitchee | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 26:14 | 16 |
| 2 | Hong Kong Rangers | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 22:18 | 15 |
| 3 | North District | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 15:12 | 14 |
| 4 | Resources Capital | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 10:24 | 5 |
| 5 | Lee Man Warriors | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 12:17 | 5 |
Promotion - Sapling Cup 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
