Sport Picks

Stadium Background

HNK Gorica vs Din. Zagreb - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Croatia Croatia

Croatian Cup 2025/2026 Gradski stadion Velika Gorica, Velika Gorica
HNK Gorica Logo

HNK Gorica

3 - 6
FT
Din. Zagreb Logo

Din. Zagreb

Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Bogojevic B.
Assist: Sule W.
6' Event
Bakrar M.
Assist: Vidovic G.
12'
Pozo I.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-6, with Din. Zagreb advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
HNK Gorica
35%
Draws
34%
Din. Zagreb
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Din. Zagreb carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans HNK Gorica's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Din. Zagreb arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Din. Zagreb, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Din. Zagreb here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
HNK Gorica Clean Sheet 15%
Din. Zagreb Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric HNK Gorica Din. Zagreb
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 9 21
Draws 6 7
Losses 14 2
Goals Scored 1.21 2.8
Goals Conceded 1.41 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 HNL
Din. Zagreb vs HNK Gorica
1:0
May 2, 2026 HNL
HNK Gorica vs Din. Zagreb
1:2
Apr 8, 2026 Croatian Cup
HNK Gorica vs Din. Zagreb
3:6
Mar 1, 2026 HNL
Din. Zagreb vs HNK Gorica
4:2
Dec 1, 2025 HNL
HNK Gorica vs Din. Zagreb
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

HNK Gorica Compare

Top Goalscorer Bogojevic B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sule W.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Din. Zagreb Compare

Top Goalscorer Zajc M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Bakrar M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

HNK Gorica 41 / 100
Din. Zagreb 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
HNK Gorica Din. Zagreb

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.20 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: HNK Gorica stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

HNK Gorica scored in 62% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Din. Zagreb conceded in 50% of 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

HNK Gorica VS Din. Zagreb
1.25 Goals Scored 1.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

HNK Gorica

(Home)
02 Oct
HNK Gorica
3 : 3
Bravo
28 Sept
Maribor
1 : 1
HNK Gorica
19 Sept
Istra 1961
0 : 1
HNK Gorica
14 Sept
HNK Gorica
2 : 2
Varazdin
09 Sept
Uskok Klis
1 : 3
HNK Gorica
Page 1 of 6

Din. Zagreb

(Away)
04 Oct
Vukovar 1991
0 : 4
Din. Zagreb
20 Sept
Din. Zagreb
3 : 2
Lok. Zagreb
16 Sept
H. Beer Sheva
0 : 0
Din. Zagreb
12 Sept
Osijek
4 : 2
Din. Zagreb
09 Sept
Bedem Ivankovo
0 : 4
Din. Zagreb
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Radnik Krizevci 5
Drnis 0
TBD -
Mladost Zdralovi -
Maksimir 3
Jadran Porec 2
TBD -
Rijeka -
Nehaj Senj 1
Vukovar 1991 2
TBD -
Cibalia -
NK Koprivnica 1
Pitomaca 0
TBD -
Hajduk Split -
Slavonija Pozega 1
Marsonia 0
TBD -
Bijelo Brdo -
NK Radnicki Dalj 0
Granicar Kotoriba 2
TBD -
Slaven Belupo -
Jedinstvo (DM) 0
Dugo Selo 3
TBD -
Lok. Zagreb -
Varteks Varazdin (2011) 3
Moslavina 0
TBD -
Sibenik -
Spansko 0
Gaj Mace 1
TBD -
Varazdin -
Uljanik Pula 2
Bjelovar 0
TBD -
Osijek -
Belica 1
Solin 4
TBD -
Rudes -
NK Libertas Novska 2
Opatija 1
TBD -
HNK Gorica -
Bednja Beletinec 1
Karlovac 4
TBD -
Belisce -
Bedem Ivankovo 3
NK Dinamo Predavac 5
TBD -
Din. Zagreb -
Zemunik 2
Kurilovec 12
TBD -
Oriolik -
Neretva 6
Zadrugar Oprisavci 2
TBD -
Istra 1961 -
1/16-finals
Radnik Krizevci 0
Mladost Zdralovi 1
Maksimir 0
Rijeka 4
Vukovar 1991 0
Cibalia 1
NK Koprivnica 1
Hajduk Split 4
Slavonija Pozega 0
Bijelo Brdo 2
Granicar Kotoriba 0
Slaven Belupo 5
Dugo Selo 0
Lok. Zagreb 4
Varteks Varazdin (2011) 4
Sibenik 1
Gaj Mace 1
Varazdin 7
Uljanik Pula 0
Osijek 4
Solin 1
Rudes 2
NK Libertas Novska 1
HNK Gorica 3
Karlovac 5
Belisce 0
NK Dinamo Predavac 0
Din. Zagreb 6
Kurilovec 5
Oriolik 0
Neretva 1
Istra 1961 2
1/8-finals
Mladost Zdralovi 1
Rijeka 4
Cibalia 0
Hajduk Split 1
Bijelo Brdo 0
Slaven Belupo 3
Lok. Zagreb 4
Varteks Varazdin (2011) 0
Varazdin 2
Osijek 1
Rudes 0
HNK Gorica 6
Karlovac 0
Din. Zagreb 7
Kurilovec 2
Istra 1961 1
Quarter-finals
Rijeka 3
Hajduk Split 2
Slaven Belupo 2
Lok. Zagreb 1
Varazdin 1
HNK Gorica 3
Din. Zagreb 2
Kurilovec 0
Semi-finals
Rijeka 2
Slaven Belupo 0
HNK Gorica 3
Din. Zagreb 6
Final
Rijeka 0
Din. Zagreb 2