Sport Picks

Stadium Background

HNK Gorica vs Ilirija

World World

Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Cuic F.
42' Event
Gashi M.
44' Event
Pelko V.

AI Match Summary

HNK Gorica in this Club Friendly 2025 matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored HNK Gorica.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
HNK Gorica
17%
Draws
13%
Ilirija
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: HNK Gorica

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to HNK Gorica lately — more wins on the board than Ilirija.
  • Win probability leans HNK Gorica's way, sitting at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 14.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 7%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
HNK Gorica Clean Sheet 20%
Ilirija Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric HNK Gorica Ilirija
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 6
Draws 5 9
Losses 12 15
Goals Scored 1 1.29
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.29
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.43

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 24, 2025 Club Friendly
HNK Gorica vs Ilirija
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

HNK Gorica Compare

Top Goalscorer Gashi M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Cuic F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Ilirija Compare

Top Goalscorer Paukovic D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.17
Avg xA / game 0.72

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

HNK Gorica 67 / 100
Ilirija 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
HNK Gorica Ilirija

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GOR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ilirija let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

HNK Gorica found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

HNK Gorica went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

HNK Gorica VS Ilirija
1 Goals Scored 1.29
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.43
75% Over 1.5 71%
38% Over 2.5 57%
0% Over 3.5 29%

Recent Form & Match History

HNK Gorica

(Home)
19 Jul
St. Pauli
2 : 1
HNK Gorica
16 Jul
HNK Gorica
1 : 0
Epitsentr
13 Jul
HNK Gorica
0 : 2
Goztepe
09 Jul
NK Brezice
1 : 5
HNK Gorica
04 Jul
HNK Gorica
2 : 1
Zorya
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Ilirija

(Away)
22 May
Ilirija
1 : 3
Beltinci
15 May
ND Gorica
1 : 0
Ilirija
09 May
Ilirija
1 : 0
Bilje
06 May
Dravinja
2 : 1
Ilirija
30 Apr
Ilirija
0 : 2
Nafta
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