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Stadium Background

HNK Gorica vs Osijek - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Croatia Croatia

HNL Gradski stadion Velika Gorica, Velika Gorica
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Dolcek I.
Assist: Balelo
13'
Peric S.
14' Event
Omerovic N.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Osijek in this HNL matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Osijek.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
HNK Gorica
35%
Draws
23%
Osijek
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: HNK Gorica

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Osijek lately — more wins on the board than HNK Gorica.
  • Win probability leans HNK Gorica's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
HNK Gorica Clean Sheet 68%
Osijek Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric HNK Gorica Osijek
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 13
Draws 6 5
Losses 14 11
Goals Scored 1.21 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2026 HNL
HNK Gorica vs Osijek
0:2
May 16, 2026 HNL
HNK Gorica vs Osijek
2:0
Mar 14, 2026 HNL
Osijek vs HNK Gorica
0:0
Dec 13, 2025 HNL
Osijek vs HNK Gorica
1:1
Sep 28, 2025 HNL
HNK Gorica vs Osijek
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

HNK Gorica Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Osijek Compare

Top Goalscorer Dolcek I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

HNK Gorica 86 / 100
Osijek 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
HNK Gorica Osijek

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HNK Gorica Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

HNK Gorica went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

HNK Gorica found the back of the net in 62% of recent matches (29 games).

Osijek let in goals in 52% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 1.40 goals.

Scoring Trends

HNK Gorica VS Osijek
1 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

HNK Gorica

(Home)
02 Oct
HNK Gorica
3 : 3
Bravo
28 Sept
Maribor
1 : 1
HNK Gorica
19 Sept
Istra 1961
0 : 1
HNK Gorica
14 Sept
HNK Gorica
2 : 2
Varazdin
09 Sept
Uskok Klis
1 : 3
HNK Gorica
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Osijek

(Away)
03 Oct
Osijek
1 : 1
Bijelo Brdo
19 Sept
Varazdin
0 : 0
Osijek
12 Sept
Osijek
4 : 2
Din. Zagreb
09 Sept
Segesta
3 : 1
Osijek
05 Sept
Rijeka
4 : 1
Osijek
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Din. Zagreb 7 5 1 1 17:9 16
2 Hajduk Split 8 5 1 2 16:8 16
3 Osijek 8 5 1 2 17:11 16
4 Varazdin 8 4 3 1 13:7 15
5 Rijeka 7 4 2 1 13:7 14
6 Istra 1961 8 2 3 3 14:13 9
7 Lok. Zagreb 8 2 1 5 11:16 7
8 Slaven Belupo 8 2 1 5 7:16 7
9 HNK Gorica 8 1 2 5 5:12 5
10 Rudes 8 1 1 6 10:24 4
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Prva NL 2027/2028 (Main)