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HNK Gorica vs Siroki Brijeg - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Delic I.
12' Event
Erceg A.
22' Event
Delic I.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly 2025 game between HNK Gorica and Siroki Brijeg finished 4-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward HNK Gorica.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
HNK Gorica
35%
Draws
12%
Siroki Brijeg
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: HNK Gorica

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Siroki Brijeg have managed 1.14 goals a game lately — HNK Gorica are scoring more at 1.21.
  • Model gives HNK Gorica a 53% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
HNK Gorica Clean Sheet 18%
Siroki Brijeg Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric HNK Gorica Siroki Brijeg
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 9
Draws 6 7
Losses 14 13
Goals Scored 1.21 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 12, 2025 Club Friendly
HNK Gorica vs Siroki Brijeg
4:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

HNK Gorica Compare

Top Goalscorer Erceg A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Durakovic E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Siroki Brijeg Compare

Top Goalscorer Delic I.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

HNK Gorica 76 / 100
Siroki Brijeg 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
HNK Gorica Siroki Brijeg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HNK Gorica Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 6.00 goals.

Recent resilience: HNK Gorica stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

HNK Gorica's goal record stands at 62% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Siroki Brijeg let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

HNK Gorica VS Siroki Brijeg
1 Goals Scored 1.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

HNK Gorica

(Home)
02 Oct
HNK Gorica
3 : 3
Bravo
28 Sept
Maribor
1 : 1
HNK Gorica
19 Sept
Istra 1961
0 : 1
HNK Gorica
14 Sept
HNK Gorica
2 : 2
Varazdin
09 Sept
Uskok Klis
1 : 3
HNK Gorica
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Siroki Brijeg

(Away)
20 Sept
Siroki Brijeg
2 : 3
Borac Banja Luka
12 Sept
Siroki Brijeg
1 : 1
BSK Banja Luka
06 Sept
Zrinjski
2 : 1
Siroki Brijeg
02 Sept
Siroki Brijeg
1 : 2
FK Sarajevo
29 Aug
Zeljeznicar
1 : 1
Siroki Brijeg
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