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HNK Gorica vs Zorya

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Budkivskyi P.
'
'

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between HNK Gorica and Zorya finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward HNK Gorica.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
HNK Gorica
35%
Draws
25%
Zorya
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: HNK Gorica

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • HNK Gorica have managed 1.2 goals a game lately — Zorya are scoring more at 1.57.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on HNK Gorica taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
HNK Gorica Clean Sheet 12%
Zorya Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric HNK Gorica Zorya
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 10
Draws 6 9
Losses 14 11
Goals Scored 1.2 1.57
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 Club Friendly
HNK Gorica vs Zorya
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

HNK Gorica Compare

Top Goalscorer Epailly T.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Zorya Compare

Top Goalscorer Budkivskyi P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

HNK Gorica 35 / 100
Zorya 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
HNK Gorica Zorya

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

HNK Gorica found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).

Zorya has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

HNK Gorica went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

HNK Gorica VS Zorya
0.88 Goals Scored 1.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

HNK Gorica

(Home)
28 Sept
Maribor
1 : 1
HNK Gorica
19 Sept
Istra 1961
0 : 1
HNK Gorica
14 Sept
HNK Gorica
2 : 2
Varazdin
09 Sept
Uskok Klis
1 : 3
HNK Gorica
05 Sept
Din. Zagreb
1 : 0
HNK Gorica
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Zorya

(Away)
19 Sept
Zorya
0 : 2
Dynamo Kyiv
13 Sept
Bukovyna
1 : 1
Zorya
09 Sept
Fenix Mariupol
0 : 2
Zorya
06 Sept
Veres Rivne
1 : 1
Zorya
31 Aug
Zorya
0 : 3
FC Kharkiv
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