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HNK Gorica vs Zorya

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Budkivsky P.
'
'

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between HNK Gorica and Zorya finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward HNK Gorica.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
HNK Gorica
33%
Draws
27%
Zorya
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: HNK Gorica

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and HNK Gorica come out ahead of Zorya on wins alone.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on HNK Gorica taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
HNK Gorica Clean Sheet 18%
Zorya Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric HNK Gorica Zorya
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 11 9
Draws 6 10
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 1.38 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.13 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 Club Friendly
HNK Gorica vs Zorya
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

HNK Gorica Compare

Top Goalscorer Epailly T.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Zorya Compare

Top Goalscorer Budkivsky P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

HNK Gorica 40 / 100
Zorya 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
HNK Gorica Zorya

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GOR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

HNK Gorica found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (28 games).

Zorya has conceded goals in 71% of their last 28 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

HNK Gorica went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

HNK Gorica VS Zorya
1.38 Goals Scored 1.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 13%