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HNK Zadar vs Karlovac

Croatia Croatia

Druga NL 2022/2023
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Match Events

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No live events recorded yet.

AI Match Summary

Karlovac in this Druga NL 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Karlovac.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
HNK Zadar
6%
Draws
4%
Karlovac
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: HNK Zadar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • HNK Zadar has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Karlovac.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for HNK Zadar.
  • Cup tournament structure in Druga NL 2022/2023 increases high-stakes performance focus.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
HNK Zadar Clean Sheet 19%
Karlovac Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric HNK Zadar Karlovac
Matches Played 32 32
Wins 13 11
Draws 11 4
Losses 8 17
Goals Scored 0 1.38
Goals Conceded 0 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 17, 2023 Druga NL
Karlovac vs HNK Zadar
2:1
Jun 11, 2023 Druga NL
HNK Zadar vs Karlovac
1:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

HNK Zadar 85 / 100
Karlovac 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
HNK Zadar Karlovac

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HNK Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

HNK Zadar scored in 72% of their last 32 games.

Karlovac let in goals in 78% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

HNK Zadar went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Karlovac lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Karlovac
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
Zagorec Krapina0
Krk1
HNK Zadar2
Karlovac4
Slavonija Pozega4
Radnik Krizevci5