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Stadium Background

HNK Zadar vs Neretvanac

Croatia Croatia

3. HNL South
HNK Zadar Logo

HNK Zadar

1 - 0
FT
Neretvanac Logo

Neretvanac

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The 3. HNL South game between HNK Zadar and Neretvanac finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward HNK Zadar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
HNK Zadar
30%
Draws
47%
Neretvanac
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Neretvanac

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

23% / Low Confidence
  • HNK Zadar carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 23% — that's where the model lands on HNK Zadar taking it.
  • Regular 3. HNL South form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 96%
Over 1.5 Goals 85.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 35.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
HNK Zadar Clean Sheet 20%
Neretvanac Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric HNK Zadar Neretvanac
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 13 8
Draws 10 6
Losses 10 16
Goals Scored 1.73 1.03
Goals Conceded 1 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.73 1.23
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 27, 2022 3. HNL South
HNK Zadar vs Neretvanac
1:0
Sep 5, 2021 3. HNL South
Neretvanac vs HNK Zadar
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

HNK Zadar 40 / 100
Neretvanac 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
HNK Zadar Neretvanac

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HNK Zadar Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Neretvanac conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

HNK Zadar's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Difficult form: Neretvanac registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

HNK Zadar VS Neretvanac
1.63 Goals Scored 0.83
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.83
88% Over 1.5 83%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

HNK Zadar

(Home)
25 Aug
Kustosija
3 : 1
HNK Zadar
01 Aug
Zagora
1 : 0
HNK Zadar
16 Jun
HNK Zadar
2 : 2
Segesta
09 Jun
Segesta
2 : 1
HNK Zadar
10 Feb
HNK Zadar
0 : 0
Dubrava Zagreb
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Neretvanac

(Away)
18 Sept
Neretvanac
1 : 3
Rijeka
28 Aug
Neretvanac
2 : 0
Bedem Ivankovo
28 May
Jadran Luka Ploce
5 : 0
Neretvanac
22 May
Neretvanac
1 : 1
OSK Otok
14 May
Primorac Biograd
2 : 1
Neretvanac
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jadran Luka Ploce 34 20 5 9 67:28 65
2 Hrvatski Vitez Posedarje 34 18 6 10 56:38 60
3 Hrvace 34 18 6 10 46:39 60
4 HNK Zadar 34 16 11 7 69:28 59
5 Neretva 34 16 7 11 50:36 55
6 RNK Split 34 15 7 12 52:40 52
7 NK Junak Sinj 34 16 4 14 49:46 52
8 Uskok Klis 34 15 6 13 51:54 51
9 Sloga Mravince 34 12 14 8 48:45 50
10 Primorac Biograd 34 14 6 14 60:56 48
11 Zagora 34 12 8 14 47:52 44
12 GOSK Dubrovnik 34 11 10 13 35:34 43
13 Zmaj Makarska 34 11 10 13 28:39 43
14 Neretvanac 34 10 8 16 40:53 38
15 Kamen Podbablje 34 9 10 15 37:51 37
16 Vodice 34 8 9 17 44:73 33
17 Urania Baska Voda 34 10 3 21 33:65 33
18 OSK Otok 34 6 8 20 48:83 26
Promotion - Prva NL 2022/2023 (Main)
Promotion - 3. HNL - Promotion Play Offs (Main)