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Ho Chi Minh City vs Aurora Saigon United

Vietnam Vietnam

V.League 2 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Nguyen Z.
60' Event
Nguyen Hoang Quoc Chi

AI Match Summary

Ho Chi Minh City in this V.League 2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ho Chi Minh City.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Ho Chi Minh City
15%
Draws
21%
Aurora Saigon United
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ho Chi Minh City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Ho Chi Minh City have won more games recently than Aurora Saigon United.
  • Model gives Ho Chi Minh City a 64% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 22%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
Ho Chi Minh City Clean Sheet 68%
Aurora Saigon United Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ho Chi Minh City Aurora Saigon United
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 15 7
Draws 5 10
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 1.27 0.87
Goals Conceded 1 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 19, 2026 Club Friendly
Aurora Saigon United vs Ho Chi Minh City
0:1
Jun 6, 2026 V.League 2
Ho Chi Minh City vs Aurora Saigon United
2:0
Oct 2, 2025 V.League 2
Aurora Saigon United vs Ho Chi Minh City
1:1
Sep 12, 2025 Vietnamese Cup
Ho Chi Minh City vs Aurora Saigon United
1:0
Jun 14, 2025 V.League 2
Ho Chi Minh City vs Aurora Saigon United
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ho Chi Minh City Compare

Top Goalscorer Nguyen Z.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Nguyen Hoang Quoc Chi
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Aurora Saigon United Compare

Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ho Chi Minh City 95 / 100
Aurora Saigon United 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ho Chi Minh City Aurora Saigon United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ho Chi Minh City Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ho Chi Minh City scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Aurora Saigon United let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Ho Chi Minh City went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ho Chi Minh City VS Aurora Saigon United
1.38 Goals Scored 0.75
0.25 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ho Chi Minh City

(Home)
25 Sept
Ho Chi Minh City
0 : 1
Van Hien
18 Sept
Quy Nhon United
1 : 2
Ho Chi Minh City
12 Sept
Lam Dong
0 : 1
Ho Chi Minh City
19 Aug
Aurora Saigon United
0 : 1
Ho Chi Minh City
06 Jun
Ho Chi Minh City
2 : 0
Aurora Saigon United
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Aurora Saigon United

(Away)
06 Oct
Truong Tuoi Dong Nai
4 : 3
Aurora Saigon United
27 Sept
Aurora Saigon United
0 : 3
Thai Nguyen
11 Sept
Hue FC
0 : 2
Aurora Saigon United
23 Aug
Long An
2 : 2
Aurora Saigon United
19 Aug
Aurora Saigon United
0 : 1
Ho Chi Minh City
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Truong Tuoi Dong Nai 22 15 5 2 47:14 50
2 Bac Ninh 22 13 6 3 41:23 45
3 Ho Chi Minh City 22 11 5 6 33:22 38
4 Quy Nhon United 22 10 5 7 38:31 35
5 Xuan Thien Phu Tho 22 9 6 7 34:32 33
6 PVF-CAND B 22 8 8 6 34:26 32
7 Van Hien 22 7 7 8 21:24 28
8 Khanh Hoa 22 7 6 9 21:23 27
9 Thep Can Tho 22 6 8 8 23:26 26
10 Aurora Saigon United 22 5 9 8 16:21 24
11 Long An 22 3 5 14 11:30 14
12 Ho Chi Minh 2 22 1 4 17 15:62 7
13 Hoa Binh 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - V.League 1 (Main)
Promotion - V.League 1 2025/2026 (Relegation)