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Hobart United vs Glenorchy Knights U21

Australia Australia

Tasmania Southern Championship
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AI Match Summary

The Tasmania Southern Championship game between Hobart United and Glenorchy Knights U21 finished 5-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Hobart United.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Hobart United
15%
Draws
36%
Glenorchy Knights U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Hobart United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Hobart United come out ahead of Glenorchy Knights U21 on wins alone.
  • 49% — that's where the model lands on Hobart United taking it.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Tasmania Southern Championship fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 87%).
  • History favors Hobart United here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 87%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Hobart United Clean Sheet 10%
Glenorchy Knights U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hobart United Glenorchy Knights U21
Matches Played 39 35
Wins 15 10
Draws 3 2
Losses 21 23
Goals Scored 2.54 2.57
Goals Conceded 3.54 4.54
Expected Goals (xG) 3.19 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 7, 2026 Tasmania Southern Championship
Glenorchy Knights U21 vs Hobart United
3:6
May 23, 2026 Tasmania Southern Championship
Hobart United vs Glenorchy Knights U21
5:0
Aug 30, 2024 Tasmania Southern Championship
Glenorchy Knights U21 vs Hobart United
1:6
Jun 29, 2024 Tasmania Southern Championship
Hobart United vs Glenorchy Knights U21
4:1
Apr 5, 2024 Tasmania Southern Championship
Glenorchy Knights U21 vs Hobart United
0:5

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hobart United 83 / 100
Glenorchy Knights U21 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hobart United Glenorchy Knights U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hobart United Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Glenorchy Knights U21's defensive record shows goals conceded in 91% of 35 matches.

Historical meetings average 6.20 goals per match.

Hobart United's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 39 recent games.

Difficult form: Glenorchy Knights U21 registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Hobart United VS Glenorchy Knights U21
1.88 Goals Scored 0.38
3.63 Goals Conceded 4.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
75% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Hobart United

(Home)
22 Aug
Hobart United
0 : 5
South Hobart U21
07 Aug
Glenorchy Knights U21
3 : 6
Hobart United
31 Jul
Olympia Warriors
8 : 1
Hobart United
11 Jul
Hobart United
2 : 4
Hobart City
04 Jul
Taroona
1 : 1
Hobart United
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Glenorchy Knights U21

(Away)
15 Aug
Taroona
14 : 0
Glenorchy Knights U21
07 Aug
Glenorchy Knights U21
3 : 6
Hobart United
31 Jul
Glenorchy Knights U21
3 : 1
University of Tasmania
18 Jul
New Town Eagles
9 : 0
Glenorchy Knights U21
11 Jul
Glenorchy Knights U21
0 : 3
Olympia Warriors
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 South Hobart U21 17 12 2 3 77:23 38
2 Olympia Warriors 17 11 2 4 51:26 35
3 New Town Eagles 16 9 5 2 54:17 32
4 Taroona 17 9 3 5 63:24 30
5 Hobart City 16 8 6 2 43:28 30
6 Clarence Zebras U21 16 7 1 8 37:41 22
7 Hobart United 17 4 2 11 34:81 14
8 Glenorchy Knights U21 17 3 2 12 37:79 11
9 University of Tasmania 17 3 1 13 29:62 10
10 South East United U21 6 0 0 6 6:50 0
Promotion - NPL Tasmania 2027 (Main)