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Stadium Background

Hobro vs Aarhus Fremad

Denmark Denmark

1st Division DS Arena, Hobro
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Pisani A.
Assist: Kirchheiner M.
24' Event
Dietz F.
Assist: Pedersen M.
32' Event
Kirchheiner M.
Assist: Baekgard S.

AI Match Summary

The 1st Division game between Hobro and Aarhus Fremad finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Aarhus Fremad.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Hobro
30%
Draws
47%
Aarhus Fremad
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Aarhus Fremad

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Hobro haven't matched Aarhus Fremad's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Aarhus Fremad a 47% chance of winning this.
  • Regular 1st Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Hobro Clean Sheet 15%
Aarhus Fremad Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hobro Aarhus Fremad
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 13 14
Draws 5 8
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 1.4 1.35
Goals Conceded 1.43 0.84
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 26, 2026 1st Division
Hobro vs Aarhus Fremad
1:2
May 14, 2026 1st Division
Hobro vs Aarhus Fremad
0:3
Apr 26, 2026 1st Division
Aarhus Fremad vs Hobro
0:1
Feb 20, 2026 Club Friendly
Hobro vs Aarhus Fremad
0:0
Nov 7, 2025 1st Division
Hobro vs Aarhus Fremad
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hobro Compare

Top Goalscorer Dietz F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Aarhus Fremad Compare

Top Goalscorer Pisani A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kirchheiner M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hobro 23 / 100
Aarhus Fremad 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hobro Aarhus Fremad

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aarhus Fremad Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:5
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hobro's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Aarhus Fremad's defensive record shows goals conceded in 55% of 31 matches.

Recent resilience: Hobro stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Hobro VS Aarhus Fremad
1.13 Goals Scored 1.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Hobro

(Home)
21 Sept
Koge
5 : 2
Hobro
11 Sept
Hobro
0 : 0
Vejle
04 Sept
Hobro
1 : 3
Hvidovre IF
30 Aug
Hillerod
3 : 1
Hobro
21 Aug
Hobro
2 : 1
Aalborg
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Aarhus Fremad

(Away)
19 Sept
Aarhus Fremad
1 : 3
Hvidovre IF
16 Sept
Horsholm-Usserod
1 : 2
Aarhus Fremad
11 Sept
Vendsyssel FF
0 : 0
Aarhus Fremad
06 Sept
Aarhus Fremad
2 : 1
Kolding IF
30 Aug
Aarhus Fremad
0 : 0
Vejle
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hvidovre IF 9 6 3 0 18:9 21
2 Vejle 9 5 4 0 22:13 19
3 Fredericia 9 3 5 1 12:6 14
4 Aarhus Fremad 9 3 4 2 10:9 13
5 Aalborg 9 3 4 2 11:11 13
6 Hobro 9 4 1 4 12:16 13
7 Vendsyssel FF 9 2 4 3 10:14 10
8 AB Copenhagen 9 2 3 4 11:10 9
9 Hillerod 9 2 3 4 13:14 9
10 Kolding IF 9 1 5 3 10:12 8
11 Koge 9 1 4 4 11:17 7
12 Esbjerg 9 1 2 6 10:19 5
Promotion - 1st Division (Promotion Group)
Relegation - 1st Division (Relegation Group)