Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Hoceima vs IR Tanger

Morocco Morocco

Coupe du Trone 2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

IR Tanger in this Coupe du Trone 2019 tie, finishing 1-3. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Hoceima
30%
Draws
29%
IR Tanger
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Hoceima

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Hoceima haven't matched IR Tanger's recent run of results.
  • Hoceima are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • IR Tanger arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor IR Tanger, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 15%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Hoceima Clean Sheet 20%
IR Tanger Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hoceima IR Tanger
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 10
Draws 9 11
Losses 15 9
Goals Scored 0.8 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.33 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 0.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 1, 2019 Coupe du Trone
Hoceima vs IR Tanger
1:3
Mar 3, 2019 Botola Pro
Hoceima vs IR Tanger
2:3
Oct 20, 2018 Botola Pro
IR Tanger vs Hoceima
1:1
May 20, 2018 Botola Pro
Hoceima vs IR Tanger
2:0
Dec 30, 2017 Botola Pro
IR Tanger vs Hoceima
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hoceima 42 / 100
IR Tanger 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hoceima IR Tanger

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Hoceima scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

IR Tanger's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

Recent resilience: Hoceima stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS IR Tanger
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Hoceima

(Home)
09 Oct
Dcheira
3 : 1
Hoceima
05 Oct
Hoceima
2 : 3
Chabab Atlas Khenifra
28 Sept
Sale
0 : 0
Hoceima
22 Sept
Hoceima
1 : 0
Chabab Benguerir
21 Aug
Ittihad Khemisset
0 : 1
Hoceima
Page 1 of 6

IR Tanger

(Away)
14 Aug
FUS Rabat
0 : 0
IR Tanger
05 Jul
IR Tanger
2 : 1
COD Meknes
02 Jul
Union Touarga
1 : 0
IR Tanger
28 Jun
IR Tanger
1 : 1
Raja Casablanca
25 Jun
Dcheira
2 : 0
IR Tanger
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Wydad Athletic 1
FAR Rabat 3
Olympique de Safi 0
Difaa El Jadidi 1
Chabab Atlas Khenifra 3
Berkane 2
Raja Casablanca 2
Renaissance Zemamra 3
TAS Casablanca 3
Kawkab Marrakech 1
Dcheira 2
Olympique Khouribga 1
Union Touarga 3
Wydad Fes 2
USM Oujda 2
Ittihad Khemisset 3
Hoceima 1
IR Tanger 3
FUS Rabat 1
Mouloudia Oujda 0
Hassania Agadir 1
Youssoufia Berrechid 0
Sale 2
Fath Wislan Meknes 0
Moghreb Tetouan 1
Chabab Mohammedia 0
RAC Casablanca 2
Raja Beni Mellal 1
Rapide Oued Zem 3
Kasba Tadla 0
Nasma Sportif Settat 1
Jeunesse Sportive Soualem 2
1/8-finals
FAR Rabat 0
Difaa El Jadidi 1
Chabab Atlas Khenifra 2
Renaissance Zemamra 1
TAS Casablanca 2
Dcheira 1
Union Touarga 0
Ittihad Khemisset 1
IR Tanger 1
FUS Rabat 0
Hassania Agadir 1
Sale 0
Moghreb Tetouan 2
RAC Casablanca 1
Rapide Oued Zem 2
Jeunesse Sportive Soualem 0
Quarter-finals
Difaa El Jadidi 3
Chabab Atlas Khenifra 0
TAS Casablanca 4
Ittihad Khemisset 2
IR Tanger 0
Hassania Agadir 1
Moghreb Tetouan 4
Rapide Oued Zem 1
Semi-finals
Difaa El Jadidi 0
TAS Casablanca 1
Hassania Agadir 3
Moghreb Tetouan 0
Final
TAS Casablanca 2
Hassania Agadir 1