Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Hodd W vs Aalesund W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Norway Norway

Norway Cup Women
Tue, Oct 20, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The first leg ended 1-5. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Hodd W have averaged 1.08 scored and 3.92 conceded recently, against Aalesund W's 3.17 scored and 0.97 conceded. Head-to-head, Hodd W have won 0 to Aalesund W's 4, with 0 draws. They last met on Aug 4, 2021, ending 1:5. xG projections (1.94 - 2.44) back Aalesund W to edge this. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Hodd W
15%
Draws
65%
Aalesund W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Aalesund W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Aalesund W have won more games recently than Hodd W.
  • Model gives Aalesund W a 65% chance of winning this.
  • Aalesund W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Aalesund W, who have won 3 of the last 4 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 85%).
  • Aalesund W have won 4 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 85%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Hodd W Clean Sheet 10%
Aalesund W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hodd W Aalesund W
Matches Played 12 35
Wins 3 30
Draws 0 2
Losses 9 3
Goals Scored 1.08 3.17
Goals Conceded 3.92 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 2.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 4, 2021 Norway Cup Women
Hodd W vs Aalesund W
1:5
May 5, 2015 Norway Cup Women
Hodd W vs Aalesund W
1:4
May 2, 2014 Norway Cup Women
Hodd W vs Aalesund W
0:7
May 7, 2013 Norway Cup Women
Aalesund W vs Hodd W
6:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hodd W 10 / 100
Aalesund W 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hodd W Aalesund W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aalesund W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 6.25 goals per match.

Aalesund W let in goals in 66% of their last 35 matches.

Hodd W scored in 58% of their last 12 games.

Hodd W went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Hodd W VS Aalesund W
3 Goals Scored 2.88
2 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 75%
100% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Hodd W

(Home)
20 Sept
Hodd W
3 : 2
Tynset W
21 Mar
Hodd W
0 : 3
Kil/Hemne W
31 Mar
Molde W
5 : 0
Hodd W
18 Feb
Hodd W
0 : 3
Molde W
04 Aug
Hodd W
1 : 5
Aalesund W
Page 1 of 3

Aalesund W

(Away)
04 Oct
Brann W
1 : 2
Aalesund W
26 Sept
Rosenborg W
1 : 1
Aalesund W
20 Sept
Aalesund W
4 : 1
Molde W
11 Sept
Bodo/Glimt W
0 : 2
Aalesund W
06 Sept
Brann W
3 : 1
Aalesund W
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Kongsvinger W 0
Ham-Kam W 3
TBD -
LSK Kvinner W -
Skeid W 1
Kolbotn W 4
TBD -
Lyn W -
Sarpsborg 08 W 2
Grei W 6
TBD -
Roa W -
Alta W 0
Stromsgodset W 6
TBD -
Valerenga W -
Sandefjord W 3
Start W 2
Ovrevoll Hosle W 0
Odds BK W 4
Raufoss W 1
Klepp W 3
Grimstad W 0
Viking W 5
Arendal W 1
Bryne W 6
TBD -
Haugesund W -
Lyngbo W 1
Asane W 4
Fana W 0
Arna-Bjornar W 5
Lillestrom W 1
Fyllingsdalen W 2
TBD -
Brann W -
Sogndal W 6
Forde W 1
TBD -
Honefoss W -
Hodd W 3
Tynset W 2
TBD -
Aalesund W -
Kil/Hemne W 3
Tiller W 0
TBD -
Stabaek W -
Malvik W 3
Ranheim W 1
TBD -
Molde W -
Steinkjer W 1
Rana FK W 2
TBD -
Rosenborg W -
Medkila W 7
Melbo W 0
Grorud W 2
Frigg W 9
Porsanger W 0
Tromso W 5
TBD -
Bodo/Glimt W -
1/16-finals
Ham-Kam W -
LSK Kvinner W -
Kolbotn W -
Lyn W -
Grei W 1
Roa W 0
Stromsgodset W -
Valerenga W -
Sandefjord W 2
Odds BK W 4
Klepp W 2
Viking W 3
Bryne W 1
Haugesund W 5
Asane W -
Arna-Bjornar W -
Fyllingsdalen W -
Brann W -
Sogndal W -
Honefoss W -
Hodd W -
Aalesund W -
Kil/Hemne W -
Stabaek W -
Malvik W -
Molde W -
Rana FK W -
Rosenborg W -
Medkila W -
Frigg W -
Tromso W -
Bodo/Glimt W -
1/8-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -