Sport Picks
Hoffenheim vs Dortmund
Germany
Bundesliga 2025/2026 PreZero Arena, Sinsheim 
Match Events
31'
31'
Burger W.
42'
42'
Kramaric A.
(Penalty)
42'
42'
Sub
Sule N. In: Bensebaini R.
Out: Sule N.
AI Match Summary
The Bundesliga 2025/2026 game between Hoffenheim and Dortmund finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Hoffenheim.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
49%
15%
36%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Hoffenheim
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
49%
/ Very High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Dortmund come out ahead of Hoffenheim on wins alone.
- Model gives Hoffenheim a 60% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Hoffenheim Clean Sheet 16%
Dortmund Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Hoffenheim | Dortmund |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 15 | 18 |
| Draws | 6 | 2 |
| Losses | 7 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 2.13 | 1.75 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.25 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.13 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.25 | 1.13 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 18, 2026 Bundesliga
Hoffenheim vs Dortmund
2:1
Dec 7, 2025 Bundesliga
Dortmund vs Hoffenheim
2:0
Apr 26, 2025 Bundesliga
Hoffenheim vs Dortmund
2:3
Dec 15, 2024 Bundesliga
Dortmund vs Hoffenheim
1:1
Feb 25, 2024 Bundesliga
Dortmund vs Hoffenheim
2:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Hoffenheim Compare
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06
Dortmund Compare
Top Goalscorer Guirassy S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Hoffenheim 57 / 100
Dortmund 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Hoffenheim Dortmund
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick HOF Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Hoffenheim scored in 82% of their last 28 outings.
Games between these two average 3.40 goals.
Defensive concern: Dortmund conceded in 62% of 29 recent games.
Hoffenheim has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Hoffenheim VS Dortmund
2.13 Goals Scored 1.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Hoffenheim
(Home) 01 Aug
Hoffenheim
3 : 0 Karlsruher
29 Jul
Hoffenheim
3 : 1 Holstein Kiel
18 Jul
Freiberg
0 : 3 Hoffenheim
16 May
B. Monchengladbach
4 : 0 Hoffenheim
09 May
Hoffenheim
1 : 0 Werder Bremen
Page 1 of 6
01 Aug
Hoffenheim
3 : 0 Karlsruher
29 Jul
Hoffenheim
3 : 1 Holstein Kiel
09 May
Hoffenheim
1 : 0 Werder Bremen
02 May
Hoffenheim
3 : 3 VfB Stuttgart
18 Apr
Hoffenheim
2 : 1 Dortmund
Page 1 of 3
Dortmund
(Away) 01 Aug
FC Tokyo
0 : 1 Dortmund
29 Jul
Cerezo Osaka
1 : 0 Dortmund
25 Jul
Dusseldorf
2 : 1 Dortmund
18 Jul
Rot-Weiss Oberhausen
1 : 3 Dortmund
16 May
Werder Bremen
0 : 2 Dortmund
Page 1 of 6
01 Aug
FC Tokyo
0 : 1 Dortmund
29 Jul
Cerezo Osaka
1 : 0 Dortmund
25 Jul
Dusseldorf
2 : 1 Dortmund
18 Jul
Rot-Weiss Oberhausen
1 : 3 Dortmund
16 May
Werder Bremen
0 : 2 Dortmund
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern Munich | 34 | 28 | 5 | 1 | 122:36 | 89 |
| 2 | Dortmund | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 70:34 | 73 |
| 3 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 66:47 | 65 |
| 4 | VfB Stuttgart | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 71:49 | 62 |
| 5 | Hoffenheim | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 65:52 | 61 |
| 6 | Bayer Leverkusen | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 68:47 | 59 |
| 7 | Freiburg | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 51:57 | 47 |
| 8 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 61:65 | 44 |
| 9 | Augsburg | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 45:61 | 43 |
| 10 | Mainz | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 44:53 | 40 |
| 11 | Union Berlin | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 44:58 | 39 |
| 12 | B. Monchengladbach | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 42:53 | 38 |
| 13 | Hamburger | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 40:54 | 38 |
| 14 | 1. FC Koln | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 49:63 | 32 |
| 15 | Werder Bremen | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 37:60 | 32 |
| 16 | Wolfsburg | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 45:69 | 29 |
| 17 | Heidenheim | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 41:72 | 26 |
| 18 | St. Pauli | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 29:60 | 26 |
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Bundesliga 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. Bundesliga (Main)
