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Hoffenheim vs Schalke - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

Bundesliga SNP Arena, Sinsheim
Sun, Nov 8, 2026
VS
06:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Hoffenheim host Schalke in the Bundesliga. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Hoffenheim have averaged 1.93 scored and 1.9 conceded recently, against Schalke's 1.59 scored and 1.24 conceded. Head-to-head, Hoffenheim have won 4 to Schalke's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on Apr 9, 2023, ending 2:0. The numbers (1.44 xG vs 1.44) point toward Schalke. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Hoffenheim
15%
Draws
26%
Schalke
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Hoffenheim

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Schalke carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Hoffenheim a 59% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Bundesliga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Hoffenheim have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Hoffenheim Clean Sheet 16%
Schalke Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hoffenheim Schalke
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 15
Draws 5 5
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 1.93 1.59
Goals Conceded 1.9 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 9, 2023 Bundesliga
Hoffenheim vs Schalke
2:0
Oct 18, 2022 DFB Pokal
Hoffenheim vs Schalke
5:1
Oct 14, 2022 Bundesliga
Schalke vs Hoffenheim
0:3
May 8, 2021 Bundesliga
Hoffenheim vs Schalke
4:2
Jan 9, 2021 Bundesliga
Schalke vs Hoffenheim
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hoffenheim 84 / 100
Schalke 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hoffenheim Schalke

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hoffenheim Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hoffenheim found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (29 games).

H2H data points to 4.20 goals as a typical output.

Schalke has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Recent resilience: Hoffenheim stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Hoffenheim VS Schalke
1.88 Goals Scored 1.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 50%
88% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Hoffenheim

(Home)
28 Oct
Holstein Kiel
2 : 1
Hoffenheim
25 Oct
Hoffenheim
3 : 0
Bayer Leverkusen
22 Oct
Hoffenheim
3 : 0
Lyon
18 Oct
B. Monchengladbach
1 : 2
Hoffenheim
15 Oct
Hoffenheim
2 : 3
Besiktas
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Schalke

(Away)
28 Oct
Dresden
2 : 0
Schalke
24 Oct
1. FC Koln
0 : 0
Schalke
17 Oct
Schalke
0 : 1
Mainz
11 Oct
Freiburg
2 : 1
Schalke
03 Oct
A. Lustenau
0 : 1
Schalke
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bayern Munich 7 5 2 0 25:6 17
2 Dortmund 7 5 2 0 12:4 17
3 Freiburg 7 4 1 2 16:9 13
4 Bayer Leverkusen 7 4 1 2 16:12 13
5 Elversberg 8 4 1 3 16:16 13
6 RB Leipzig 7 4 0 3 20:11 12
7 Werder Bremen 7 3 3 1 15:14 12
8 Mainz 8 3 1 4 17:17 10
9 Augsburg 7 2 3 2 17:13 9
10 Hoffenheim 7 3 0 4 14:14 9
11 Hamburger 7 3 0 4 6:16 9
12 1. FC Koln 7 2 2 3 8:11 8
13 Paderborn 7 2 2 3 6:9 8
14 Eintracht Frankfurt 7 2 2 3 10:17 8
15 VfB Stuttgart 7 2 0 5 10:13 6
16 Schalke 7 1 3 3 4:7 6
17 Union Berlin 7 1 3 3 6:18 6
18 B. Monchengladbach 7 1 0 6 11:22 3
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. Bundesliga 2027/2028 (Main)