Sport Picks
Hoffenheim vs VfB Stuttgart
Germany
Bundesliga 2025/2026 PreZero Arena, Sinsheim 
Match Events
7'
7'
Kramaric A.
Assist: Asllani F.
20'
20'
Fuhrich C.
Assist: Hendriks R.
23'
23'
Toure B.
AI Match Summary
The Bundesliga 2025/2026 game between Hoffenheim and VfB Stuttgart finished 3-3.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
41%
15%
44%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: VfB Stuttgart
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
44%
/ Low Confidence
- VfB Stuttgart carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans VfB Stuttgart's way, sitting at 90%.
- Regular Bundesliga 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Hoffenheim Clean Sheet 10%
VfB Stuttgart Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Hoffenheim | VfB Stuttgart |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 30 |
| Wins | 15 | 16 |
| Draws | 5 | 7 |
| Losses | 7 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 2.04 | 2.53 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.52 | 1.3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 2.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 2, 2026 Bundesliga
Hoffenheim vs VfB Stuttgart
3:3
Dec 20, 2025 Bundesliga
VfB Stuttgart vs Hoffenheim
0:0
Feb 23, 2025 Bundesliga
Hoffenheim vs VfB Stuttgart
1:1
Oct 6, 2024 Bundesliga
VfB Stuttgart vs Hoffenheim
1:1
Mar 16, 2024 Bundesliga
Hoffenheim vs VfB Stuttgart
0:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Hoffenheim Compare
Top Goalscorer Kramaric A.
2 Goals Assists Leader Toure B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81
VfB Stuttgart Compare
Top Goalscorer Fuhrich C.
1 Goals Assists Leader Demirovic E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Hoffenheim 10 / 100
VfB Stuttgart 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Hoffenheim VfB Stuttgart
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick STU Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Hoffenheim found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (27 games).
VfB Stuttgart has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.
H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.
Hoffenheim went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Hoffenheim VS VfB Stuttgart
1.88 Goals Scored 2.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Hoffenheim
(Home) 01 Aug
Hoffenheim
3 : 0 Karlsruher
29 Jul
Hoffenheim
3 : 1 Holstein Kiel
18 Jul
Freiberg
0 : 3 Hoffenheim
16 May
B. Monchengladbach
4 : 0 Hoffenheim
09 May
Hoffenheim
1 : 0 Werder Bremen
Page 1 of 6
01 Aug
Hoffenheim
3 : 0 Karlsruher
29 Jul
Hoffenheim
3 : 1 Holstein Kiel
09 May
Hoffenheim
1 : 0 Werder Bremen
02 May
Hoffenheim
3 : 3 VfB Stuttgart
18 Apr
Hoffenheim
2 : 1 Dortmund
Page 1 of 3
VfB Stuttgart
(Away) 08 Aug
VfB Stuttgart
3 : 1 Everton
01 Aug
VfB Stuttgart
2 : 2 Paris FC
29 Jul
Kickers Offenbach
1 : 8 VfB Stuttgart
25 Jul
Hollenbach
0 : 5 VfB Stuttgart
19 Jul
Balingen
0 : 7 VfB Stuttgart
Page 1 of 6
29 Jul
Kickers Offenbach
1 : 8 VfB Stuttgart
25 Jul
Hollenbach
0 : 5 VfB Stuttgart
19 Jul
Balingen
0 : 7 VfB Stuttgart
23 May
Bayern Munich
3 : 0 VfB Stuttgart
16 May
Eintracht Frankfurt
2 : 2 VfB Stuttgart
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern Munich | 34 | 28 | 5 | 1 | 122:36 | 89 |
| 2 | Dortmund | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 70:34 | 73 |
| 3 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 66:47 | 65 |
| 4 | VfB Stuttgart | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 71:49 | 62 |
| 5 | Hoffenheim | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 65:52 | 61 |
| 6 | Bayer Leverkusen | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 68:47 | 59 |
| 7 | Freiburg | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 51:57 | 47 |
| 8 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 61:65 | 44 |
| 9 | Augsburg | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 45:61 | 43 |
| 10 | Mainz | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 44:53 | 40 |
| 11 | Union Berlin | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 44:58 | 39 |
| 12 | B. Monchengladbach | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 42:53 | 38 |
| 13 | Hamburger | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 40:54 | 38 |
| 14 | 1. FC Koln | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 49:63 | 32 |
| 15 | Werder Bremen | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 37:60 | 32 |
| 16 | Wolfsburg | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 45:69 | 29 |
| 17 | Heidenheim | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 41:72 | 26 |
| 18 | St. Pauli | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 29:60 | 26 |
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Bundesliga 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. Bundesliga (Main)
