Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Hoffenheim vs Wolfsburg

Germany Germany

Bundesliga 2025/2026 PreZero Arena, Sinsheim
Our Tip

Match Events

61'
Sub
Prass A. In: Promel G.
Out: Prass A.
61'
Sub
Asllani F. In: Lemperle T.
Out: Asllani F.
63'
Sub
Pejcinovic D. In: Wind J.
Out: Pejcinovic D.

AI Match Summary

The Bundesliga 2025/2026 game between Hoffenheim and Wolfsburg finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Hoffenheim
15%
Draws
36%
Wolfsburg
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Hoffenheim

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Hoffenheim come out ahead of Wolfsburg on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular Bundesliga 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Hoffenheim Clean Sheet 16%
Wolfsburg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hoffenheim Wolfsburg
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 15 8
Draws 6 7
Losses 7 14
Goals Scored 1.88 1.88
Goals Conceded 1.13 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2026 Bundesliga
Hoffenheim vs Wolfsburg
1:1
Nov 2, 2025 Bundesliga
Wolfsburg vs Hoffenheim
2:3
May 9, 2025 Bundesliga
Wolfsburg vs Hoffenheim
2:2
Jan 11, 2025 Bundesliga
Hoffenheim vs Wolfsburg
0:1
Dec 4, 2024 DFB Pokal
Wolfsburg vs Hoffenheim
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hoffenheim Compare

Top Goalscorer Promel G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Wolfsburg Compare

Top Goalscorer Koulierakis K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hoffenheim 36 / 100
Wolfsburg 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hoffenheim Wolfsburg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick WOL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Hoffenheim scored in 82% of their last 28 outings.

Defensive concern: Wolfsburg conceded in 90% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Hoffenheim has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Hoffenheim VS Wolfsburg
1.88 Goals Scored 1.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Hoffenheim

(Home)
01 Aug
Hoffenheim
3 : 0
Karlsruher
29 Jul
Hoffenheim
3 : 1
Holstein Kiel
18 Jul
Freiberg
0 : 3
Hoffenheim
16 May
B. Monchengladbach
4 : 0
Hoffenheim
09 May
Hoffenheim
1 : 0
Werder Bremen
Page 1 of 6

Wolfsburg

(Away)
31 Jul
Wolfsburg
3 : 1
Telstar
24 Jul
Wolfsburg
0 : 2
Lyon
18 Jul
Wolfsburg
3 : 0
Verl
11 Jul
Schoningen
2 : 8
Wolfsburg
25 May
Paderborn
2 : 1
Wolfsburg
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bayern Munich 34 28 5 1 122:36 89
2 Dortmund 34 22 7 5 70:34 73
3 RB Leipzig 34 20 5 9 66:47 65
4 VfB Stuttgart 34 18 8 8 71:49 62
5 Hoffenheim 34 18 7 9 65:52 61
6 Bayer Leverkusen 34 17 8 9 68:47 59
7 Freiburg 34 13 8 13 51:57 47
8 Eintracht Frankfurt 34 11 11 12 61:65 44
9 Augsburg 34 12 7 15 45:61 43
10 Mainz 34 10 10 14 44:53 40
11 Union Berlin 34 10 9 15 44:58 39
12 B. Monchengladbach 34 9 11 14 42:53 38
13 Hamburger 34 9 11 14 40:54 38
14 1. FC Koln 34 7 11 16 49:63 32
15 Werder Bremen 34 8 8 18 37:60 32
16 Wolfsburg 34 7 8 19 45:69 29
17 Heidenheim 34 6 8 20 41:72 26
18 St. Pauli 34 6 8 20 29:60 26
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Bundesliga 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. Bundesliga (Main)