Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Hogaborgs vs Solvesborgs

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Södra Götaland 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Carlsson D.
66' Event
Borstam H.
(Penalty)
74' Event
Borstam H.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Solvesborgs in this Division 2 - Södra Götaland 2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Solvesborgs.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Hogaborgs
15%
Draws
59%
Solvesborgs
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Solvesborgs

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Solvesborgs lately — more wins on the board than Hogaborgs.
  • Model gives Solvesborgs a 59% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Hogaborgs Clean Sheet 10%
Solvesborgs Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hogaborgs Solvesborgs
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 13
Draws 5 4
Losses 16 13
Goals Scored 1.67 1.83
Goals Conceded 2.23 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 3, 2025 Division 2 - Södra Götaland
Hogaborgs vs Solvesborgs
2:3
Mar 29, 2025 Division 2 - Södra Götaland
Solvesborgs vs Hogaborgs
3:2
Sep 1, 2012 Division 2 - Södra Götaland
Solvesborgs vs Hogaborgs
2:3
May 26, 2012 Division 2 - Södra Götaland
Hogaborgs vs Solvesborgs
2:0
Sep 17, 2011 Division 2 - Södra Götaland
Solvesborgs vs Hogaborgs
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hogaborgs Compare

Top Goalscorer Carlsson D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hazime A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Solvesborgs Compare

Top Goalscorer Bjorck T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hogaborgs 10 / 100
Solvesborgs 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hogaborgs Solvesborgs

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Solvesborgs Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hogaborgs's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Solvesborgs has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.80 goals per match.

Solid form: Hogaborgs remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Hogaborgs VS Solvesborgs
1 Goals Scored 1.63
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Hogaborgs

(Home)
19 Aug
Hogaborgs
0 : 4
Oster
03 Jun
Hogaborgs
2 : 1
IFK Trelleborg
07 Feb
Angelholm
3 : 0
Hogaborgs
01 Nov
Hogaborgs
1 : 4
Staffanstorp United
25 Oct
Staffanstorp United
4 : 4
Hogaborgs
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Solvesborgs

(Away)
25 Aug
Vaxjo Norra
1 : 2
Solvesborgs
21 Aug
Solvesborgs
2 : 1
IFK Karlshamn
14 Aug
Solvesborgs
1 : 2
Nosaby IF
07 Aug
Osterlen FF
4 : 1
Solvesborgs
27 Jun
Solvesborgs
1 : 0
Oskarshamn
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kristianstad 26 18 4 4 47:22 58
2 Karlskrona 26 16 5 5 59:28 53
3 IFK Trelleborg 26 13 7 6 58:41 46
4 Solvesborgs 26 13 6 7 54:41 45
5 Vaxjo Norra 26 11 5 10 46:32 38
6 Rappe GOIF 26 9 10 7 29:32 37
7 Torns 26 10 4 12 30:46 34
8 Linero IF 26 10 3 13 39:45 33
9 Nosaby IF 26 9 6 11 41:48 33
10 IFK Karlshamn 26 10 2 14 31:43 32
11 Osterlen FF 26 9 3 14 41:43 30
12 Hogaborgs 26 8 4 14 43:53 28
13 IFK Hassleholm 26 6 4 16 36:58 22
14 Balkan 26 4 9 13 34:56 21
Promotion - Division 2 - Norrland 2025 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Södra Götaland 2025 (Relegation)