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Hoganas vs Tolo IF - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Västra Götaland 2022
Hoganas Logo

Hoganas

2 - 1
FT
Tolo IF Logo

Tolo IF

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Hoganas in this Division 2 - Västra Götaland 2022 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Hoganas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Hoganas
30%
Draws
58%
Tolo IF
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Tolo IF

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Tolo IF have won more games recently than Hoganas.
  • Model gives Tolo IF a 58% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Division 2 - Västra Götaland 2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Hoganas Clean Sheet 19%
Tolo IF Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hoganas Tolo IF
Matches Played 30 36
Wins 3 9
Draws 5 11
Losses 22 16
Goals Scored 1.07 1.31
Goals Conceded 2.77 1.92
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 11, 2022 Division 2 - Västra Götaland
Hoganas vs Tolo IF
2:1
May 22, 2022 Division 2 - Västra Götaland
Tolo IF vs Hoganas
3:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hoganas 16 / 100
Tolo IF 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hoganas Tolo IF

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tolo IF Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.50 goals when they meet.

Hoganas scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Tolo IF let in goals in 72% of their last 36 matches.

Solid form: Hoganas remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Tolo IF
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 2
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Hoganas

(Home)
15 Oct
Torslanda
5 : 2
Hoganas
08 Oct
Hoganas
1 : 3
Onsala
01 Oct
Assyriska BK
3 : 2
Hoganas
24 Sept
Landvetter
4 : 0
Hoganas
17 Sept
Hoganas
2 : 2
Husqvarna
Page 1 of 6

Tolo IF

(Away)
22 Oct
Tolo IF
0 : 1
Savedalen
14 Oct
Husqvarna
1 : 1
Tolo IF
08 Oct
Tolo IF
1 : 1
Laholms
30 Sept
Tolo IF
2 : 0
Lindome
23 Sept
Nassjo
3 : 2
Tolo IF
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Eskilsminne 26 21 1 4 62:15 64
2 BK Astrio 26 19 4 3 74:30 61
3 Husqvarna 26 17 6 3 50:16 57
4 Frolunda 26 16 4 6 49:32 52
5 Onsala 26 13 6 7 58:32 45
6 Savedalen 26 12 6 8 55:45 42
7 Hittarp 26 13 3 10 59:50 42
8 Torslanda 26 8 7 11 48:48 31
9 Varbergs GIF 26 8 4 14 37:54 28
10 Landvetter 26 8 3 15 36:46 27
11 Tolo IF 26 6 6 14 31:61 24
12 Assyriska BK 26 4 5 17 20:58 17
13 Hoganas 26 3 4 19 28:70 13
14 Ullareds IK 26 4 1 21 22:72 13
Promotion - Division 2 - Norrland 2022 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Västra Götaland 2022 (Relegation)